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In a unfavourable month within the total market (down 12% to 35,386 gross sales), June noticed plugin registrations additionally drop by 15% YoY, to 16,089 models. Consequently, the Dutch plugin car (PEV) market reached 45% market share final month, in step with the year-to-date common. That’s principally due to pure electrics (33% of latest car gross sales). With 11,816 registrations, pure electrics (BEVs) represented 73% of all plugin gross sales final month, above the YTD common of 70%.
Evaluating the present outcomes with 2023, we’re above the complete 12 months rating (44% PEV, 31% BEV), and extra importantly, 3% above the outcomes offered 12 months in the past. With the assistance of latest fashions touchdown quickly, it factors to the likelihood that the Dutch EV market might attain the 50% mark already this 12 months, with BEVs at 36%! That might be some excellent news!
Trying on the total auto gross sales desk, Tesla profited from a excessive tide within the Dutch market, scoring a #1 and #2 win in June, with the Mannequin Y main due to 1,768 models whereas the Mannequin 3 had its greatest end in years by scoring 1,664 gross sales, little question influenced by the pre-tariff enhance gross sales rush.
The additionally Made-in-China Volvo EX30 was third, with 1,172 gross sales, thus making a 100% BEV podium in the general market. The Kia Niro (52% plugin gross sales) took revenue from the extra models coming from the HEV model to take 4th place with 1,142 registrations, leaving the fifth place to the Volvo EX40/XC40 (82% of models had been plugins). It was thus a full 100% plugin podium within the Netherlands. That is one other signal of the merging of the plugin and total markets continues.
We should always spotlight that the #4 Kia Niro had a big change within the powertrain combine. Till not too long ago, the BEV model often represented the vast majority of gross sales of the crossover, however in June, the BEV share dropped to 40%, whereas the HEV share of gross sales rose to 48%. Is the upcoming Kia EV3 already making a dent within the Niro EV orders? That may be a robust chance, because the EV3 is claimed to start out at 37,000 euros, some 2,000 euros under the present Kia Niro EV’s value. For patrons, it’s actually a no brainer — in the event that they wait a couple of extra months, they get a greater, cheaper, and extra fashionable mannequin.
As such, we would see the identical cannibalization course of among the many Kia EVs that we’re at present witnessing between the Volvo EX30 and its barely larger, older, and dearer XC40/EX40 sibling.
One of the best promoting pure ICE mannequin within the total rating was solely eighth, with the little Toyota Aygo X profitable that title. (We actually want small, low-cost EVs….)
The plugin desk repeated the general high 5, whereas under them, the Ford Kuga PHEV was sixth, with 379 registrations, the crossover’s greatest rating in 10 months. Slightly below it, now we have the BMW iX1, which continues to impress. It registered 355 models, its greatest end in 2024.
Nonetheless on the highest half of the desk, the Polestar 2 was tenth, with 264 registrations, its greatest end in over a 12 months, giving a lot wanted excellent news to the struggling startup model.
However the true information is within the second half of the desk, with three new fashions already making themselves observed. The Renault Scenic EV jumped to #11 in solely its 2nd month in the marketplace. The compact Renault, which went from being an MPV to a crossover on this newest technology (I assume now we have to vary with the instances…) has already turn out to be Renault’s greatest promoting EV by far. The 2nd greatest promoting Renault, the Megane EV, had solely 117 registrations. How excessive will the French EV go? With costs beginning at 42,500 euros for the 430 km WTLP vary and 48,000 euros for the 625 km WLTP vary model, it is a aggressive mannequin within the class, so a high 10 place must be comparatively simple for it to attain.
And Renault actually wants a profitable mannequin within the coming months, as the recent new Renault 5 is simply set to land late this 12 months.
One other mannequin touchdown with robust outcomes is the brand new Mini Cooper EV, which had 206 gross sales in June, the nameplate’s greatest end in a 12 months. It will likely be attention-grabbing to see how the brand new Made-in-China mannequin behaves within the subsequent few months, contemplating the current tariffs enhance for BEVs made in that nation.
Lastly, the largest shock of the month was the Skoda Kodiaq PHEV touchdown straight within the desk, in #20, with 180 registrations. The Czech midsize 7-seat SUV packs an enormous(ish) 26 kWh battery and CCS charging, and it appears poised to turn out to be an everyday presence within the high 20.
Exterior one of the best sellers desk, the rise and rise of the BMW i5 (169 registrations) continues. The massive sedan has crushed the remaining full dimension competitors, and the excellent news for BMW Group doesn’t cease there, because the Mini Countryman EV scored 129 models in solely its second month in the marketplace, which signifies that the ramp-up of the crossover is in full movement. We might see the German-made Brit attain the desk quickly.
Trying on the 2024 rating, the Tesla Mannequin Y has over 2,500 models of advance over the runner-up Volvo EX/XC40, which must be sufficient to stay snug within the lead and renew its 2023 greatest vendor title.
However the runner-up spot is open for dialogue. With the EX/XC40 exhibiting its wrinkles (it has been in the marketplace since 2017), and with its youthful sibling EX30 and the Tesla Mannequin 3 fewer than 150 models behind the Belgian-made Swede, anticipate these final two to surpass it quickly and battle for the 2nd place between themselves. With each fashions being hit by the tariffs enhance, it is going to be attention-grabbing to see how these two Made-in-China fashions will behave beneath the brand new guidelines.
One factor is for positive — with the Tesla Mannequin 3 positive to finish the 12 months on the rostrum, it is going to be the primary time since 2020 that the midsize sedan ends on the Dutch podium.
The Kia Niro closes out the highest 5, with no actual competitors in sight.
The Ford Kuga PHEV was up one spot, to eighth, cementing its management place within the plugin hybrid class, particularly because the class runner-up, the Lynk & Co 01 PHEV, is slowly strolling into PHEV Heaven.
Within the second half of the desk, it’s a BMW bonanza, with three Beemers on the rise. The favored iX1 continued to go up, now to eleventh; the bread and butter 3 Sequence PHEV climbed to sixteenth; all whereas its BEV cousin, the sportier i4 fastback, is now seventeenth. BMW is on a roll — not solely does it now have the massive i5 taking up the complete dimension class, however it is usually forward of its German arch rivals within the two classes under. Not unhealthy, contemplating it’s the solely of the three utilizing multi-energy platforms.
Lastly, a be aware is warranted on the #21 Porsche Cayenne PHEV (936 registrations) and the #22 Polestar 2 (929 registrations), that are each fairly near the #19 Renault Megane EV & Hyundai Tucson PHEV, each with 990 registrations. So, we would see some place adjustments right here in July.
Within the producer rating, chief Volvo continued to rise, now at 15.9%, up 0.2% from Could, whereas runner-up Tesla is at 15.3%, up 1.9%, due to its anticipated end-of-quarter peak. It appears just like the Swedish model might recuperate the producer title, which it had already gained in 2022 however then misplaced to Tesla within the following 12 months.
In the meantime, now we have a place change in third, with Kia (8.8%, down from 8.9%) being surpassed by a robust BMW (8.9%, up 0.2%) because the German make appears set to repeat one other podium presence within the Dutch rating.
Lastly, in fifth, now we have a falling Mercedes (4.9% share, down 0.4%), which hasn’t managed to position any mannequin in Could’s high 20. It’s attainable that rising Hyundai, now sixth, with 4.2% share, might surpass Mercedes quickly.
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Having a fast take a look at June’s total high 20, we are able to see the totally different dynamics at present occurring, with the closely electrified #3 Volvo being the quickest rising model (+156% YoY!) whereas #15 Opel (-55% YoY) and … #6 Volkswagen (-57% YoY!!!) had been the toughest hit with falling gross sales, and whereas Opel has new fashions coming quickly (new Grandland and new Frontera) to assist gross sales, Volkswagen has … crickets?
Though this might have been an allocation challenge — in any case, Could was a optimistic month for the German make — it is going to be attention-grabbing to see how the next months go for Volkswagen to know higher its future on this market.
As for OEMs, the chief, Geely–Volvo, is at 19.3% share, which is barely above the earlier month (19.1%) due to optimistic performances from Polestar and, above all, Volvo, which managed to offset Lynk & Co’s present gross sales blues.
Tesla is second, with 15.3% share, and behind it, now we have a shock, with a weak month from Volkswagen Group (12.8%, down from 13%), permitting Hyundai–Kia (13.1%) to surpass the German OEM and leap into third, which is one thing of a small feat, because the Korean OEM was fifth a 12 months in the past.
BMW Group (9.5%, up 0.3%) is fifth and continues on the rise, all whereas #6 Stellantis (7.9% down from 8.2% in Could) continues to slip, and it’s important to not overlook that the multinational conglomerate was in 2nd place on this market only a 12 months in the past.
True, Stellantis has plenty of high-volume fashions coming in (Citroen e-C3 EV, Citroen e-C3 Aircross EV, Opel Frontera EV, Fiat Grande Panda EV, and many others.), however they might want to hit the bottom operating, not solely as a result of they should cease the present gross sales bleed, but additionally as a result of the current tariffs enhance is a bandaid that grants European OEMs only a couple extra years to develop their efforts within the decrease finish of the market. And with Renault solely delivering excessive volumes of its Renault 5 subsequent 12 months and Volkswagen Group’s small EV fashions solely touchdown in 2026, it is a golden alternative to achieve an early lead over their native competitors and set up sufficient scale within the subsequent couple of years to have the ability to have a preventing likelihood to face the Chinese language competitors head on — not solely in Europe, but additionally in Latin America, the place Chinese language OEMs are already making vital inroads in markets the place Stellantis is historically a significant participant.
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