U.S. Manufacturing Capability for Sustainable Aviation Gas to Develop

Join every day information updates from CleanTechnica on e mail. Or observe us on Google Information!

Manufacturing capability of sustainable aviation gasoline (SAF) in the USA might improve from round 2,000 barrels per day (b/d) to just about 30,000 b/d in 2024 if all introduced capability additions come on line. Builders anticipate Phillips 66’s Rodeo Renewed challenge to provide as much as about 10,000 b/d of SAF starting this summer season, they usually anticipate Diamond Inexperienced Diesel’s Port Arthur SAF challenge to provide about 15,000 b/d of SAF by the tip of the 12 months.

SAF is an alternative choice to petroleum jet gasoline. It’s produced from agricultural and waste feedstocks and is consumed in blends with petroleum jet gasoline. Investments in SAF have elevated as a result of U.S. Environmental Safety Company’s Renewable Gas Commonplace (RFS), federal tax credit, and state packages and tax credit incentivizing use of the gasoline. The White Home additionally set a aim of assembly 100% of U.S. aviation gasoline demand with SAF by 2050. About 1.6 million b/d of petroleum jet gasoline was consumed in the USA in 2023, and we challenge U.S. jet gasoline demand in 2050 to exceed 2.0 million b/d in our 2023 Annual Power Outlook.

We seize SAF manufacturing knowledge within the Different Biofuels class of our Petroleum Provide Month-to-month. Along with SAF, our Different Biofuels class contains renewable heating oil, renewable naphtha, renewable propane, renewable gasoline, and different rising biofuels which might be in varied levels of growth and commercialization.

Traditionally, manufacturing of Different Biofuels in the USA has been minimal. Nonetheless, as a result of renewable naphtha and renewable propane are by-products of a rising renewable diesel business, manufacturing of Different Biofuels has been rising as properly. U.S. manufacturing of Different Biofuels elevated from simply 2,000 b/d in 2020 to 19,000 b/d in 2023.

SAF manufacturing has traditionally comprised a small portion of Different Biofuels manufacturing due to restricted manufacturing capability. Initially of 2024, U.S. SAF manufacturing capability was solely round 2,000 b/d, with solely two vegetation able to producing SAF: World Power’s plant in Paramount, California, and Montana Renewables’ plant in Nice Falls, Montana.

In our newest Quick-Time period Power Outlook, we forecast that U.S. manufacturing of Different Biofuels will improve by about 50% in 2024 and nearly double from 2024 to 2025. We don’t publish a forecast for every gasoline that makes up the class.

The first driver for our forecasted improve in Different Biofuels manufacturing—from 19,000 b/d in 2023 to 51,000 b/d in 2025—is rising U.S. SAF manufacturing capability. As a result of we forecast renewable diesel manufacturing to proceed rising, we additionally anticipate manufacturing of renewable diesel by-products to extend by way of 2025 and clarify among the progress in our Different Biofuels manufacturing forecast.

Principal contributor: Jimmy Troderman. Initially printed on At present in Power.