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Wednesday, September 18, 2024

Refiner Neste warns of weaker biofuel outlook, shares drop


Refiner Neste warns of weaker biofuel outlook, shares drop.

Finnish refiner Neste (NESTE.HE), opens new tab on Wednesday minimize the margin outlook for its biofuel enterprise for the third time this yr on account of falling costs and in addition lowered its anticipated gross sales volumes, sending the corporate’s share value down 10%.

Neste mentioned a drop within the value of standard diesel had affected what it might cost for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, whereas enter prices for waste and residue feedstock remained excessive.

A rush by U.S. gasoline makers to recalibrate their vegetation to provide renewable diesel has created a provide glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent business.

Neste in an announcement slashed the anticipated common comparable gross sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and effectively beneath the $600-$800 seen in February.

The corporate now additionally expects renewables-based gross sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes as an alternative of the 4.4 million it had predicted because the begin of the yr, it added.

Part of the amount minimize got here from the manufacturing of sustainable aviation gasoline, of which it’s now anticipated to promote between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this yr, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen beforehand, Neste mentioned.

Neste mentioned in an announcement:

Renewable merchandise’ gross sales costs have been negatively affected by a considerable lower in (the) diesel value throughout the third quarter.

“On the similar time, waste and residue feedstock costs haven’t decreased and renewable product market value premiums have remained weak,” the corporate added.

Trade executives and analysts have mentioned quickly increasing Chinese language biodiesel producers are searching for new shops in Asia for his or her exports, whereas Shell (SHEL.L), opens new tab and BP (BP.L), opens new tab have introduced they’re pausing enlargement plans in Europe.

Whereas the minimize in Neste’s steering on gross sales volumes of sustainable aviation gasoline got here as a shock, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a decrease diesel value was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski mentioned.

Neste’s share value had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% decrease year-to-date.

READ the most recent information shaping the biofuels market at Biofuels Central

Refiner Neste warns of weaker biofuel outlook, shares drop. supply

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