The Week That Was: 2023-12-09 (December 9, 2023)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking
Quote of the Week: “It ain’t what you don’t know that will get you into bother. It’s what you already know for positive that simply ain’t so” – Samuel Clemens, higher often known as Mark Twain [H/t John Mikkelsen, Quadrant]
Variety of the Week: 1 trillion kWh.
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)
Scope: The problems mentioned under embrace an interview of Richard Lindzen by Jan Jekielek of the Epoch Instances. The newest report by the US EPA on its calculated social value of greenhouse gases is mentioned emphasizing what’s omitted, particularly the advantages of greenhouse gases. Francis Menton brings us some calculations that those that promote Internet Zero emissions keep away from, the mandatory storage of electrical energy if fossil fuels are deserted. Though hyperlinks are supplied, TWTW is avoiding discussing COP 28 till the hurley-burley is completed (noisy dysfunction and confusion).
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Altering Meanings: Jan Jekielek of the Epoch Instances begins his interview of atmospheric physicist Richard Lindzen by asking is the science settled? Lindzen response and the start observe up dialogue was: [From the transcript. Boldface added]
“In fact not. The minute you hear that the science is settled, you already know one thing is flawed, as a result of science isn’t settled. Once you declare it’s settled, you wish to shut off all disagreement, since you don’t have a lot to current.
Mr. Jekielek: You stated that science is likely one of the few phrases that if you add the phrase, “the,” in entrance of it, it means the precise reverse.
Mr. Lindzen: Certain. Science is a mode of inquiry. “The science,” is science as authority. Political figures, folks not in science, have usually seen that science has a sure authority with the general public and so they wish to co-opt it, so they bring about within the time period, the science, which is how they view science. However that isn’t what science is. Science is all the time open to questioning. Science relies on questions and relies on being flawed. Once you say science can’t be flawed, you’ve choked off science.
Mr. Jekielek: I wish to discover this realm. A few of the folks which can be citing science actually don’t know how science is meant to work within the first place. I wish to speak in regards to the precise science round local weather change and what the present state of that science is, as you perceive it.
Mr. Lindzen: You’re asking for lots. Local weather is a fancy topic. We deal with it within the press as if it’s one quantity, and that’s what local weather is. However earlier than this concern, local weather science was primarily to know the Earth’s local weather at current. The explanation that’s difficult is represented by one thing known as the Köppen classification.”
[First published by German-Russian climatologist Wladimir Köppen in 1884, the Köppen classification has been changed several times. The latest changes are those by Rudolf Geiger 1954 and 1961, and Glen Trewartja in 1966 and 1980. The classification applies to plant life on land. The system has three levels of classification. The first level has five main climate groups: A (tropical), B (arid), C (temperate), D (continental), and E (polar). The second level divides the climate groups by seasonal precipitation and the third level divides these levels by levels of heat (hot, warm, cold) and summer or winter.] Lindzen states:
“We’ve got dozens of local weather regimes on the earth proper now, not one, and so they all behave considerably otherwise. The notion that there’s one quantity, a temperature of the earth that all of them work in lockstep with, is absurd. However that quantity itself, folks don’t perceive what it’s. I might ask you, “What’s the temperature of the earth?” How do you reply that?
Mr. Jekielek: My reply is that persons are taking temperatures in other places world wide and pulling a mean out of that.
Mr. Lindzen: You common Mount Everest and the Useless Sea, and what do you get? No, they don’t do this. They understand that doesn’t work. The very first thing is that they take what’s known as the temperature anomaly. At every station, they take a 30-year imply, roughly 1950 to 1980 let’s say, and so they then have a look at the deviation from that imply and so they common the deviations at every station. You’re getting the typical temperature change and that’s what you see on this graph. [Not shown here]
You see this graph. It has been going up since 1800, and definitely by 1880, it’s going up by one and a fraction diploma, which isn’t a heck of so much. However there’s one thing flawed with that diagram. What’s flawed with that diagram is you don’t see the information factors. It is best to all the time see the information factors. If you happen to plot that and present the information factors, this little factor going up a level or so is surrounded by dense clouds of information which can be starting from minus 10 to 10, 20 levels.
The imply anomaly on that appears like a horizontal line. Your first estimate is that it’s fixed. There’s a few issues to be stated about that. You are taking away the information factors and then you definately broaden the size in order that one diploma or two levels occupies your entire graph. Now, it seems massive. Folks don’t have a look at the numbers, and so they don’t know the information. The info itself says that at any given level, nearly as many stations are cooling as they’re warming.
That’s saying that it’s not telling you about anyplace, which is in step with the truth that we now have many climates. You’re proper. Then you definately clean it out since you don’t wish to present the wiggles every year. However for those who don’t have the wiggles, you don’t know what’s known as the variance, which is about 0.4 levels, which implies anytime the media bloviates a couple of 0.1-degree improve, they’re speaking about an insignificant improve.
The entire concern at that stage relies on a public that’s completely innumerate [numerically illiterate] and can’t learn a graph. Sadly, in the case of most politicians, I feel that’s appropriate. I’ve often watched a Senate listening to and anyone comes, Al Gore was usually doing this when he was within the Senate and exhibits a graph. I assumed, “Perhaps he’s attempting to level one thing out as a result of the graph didn’t look proper.”
No, he wasn’t doing that in any respect. He was displaying his colleagues he had a graph as if to say, “Don’t screw round with me.” It wasn’t that this was data. Coupled with advert infinitum repetition, a la Goebbels, and paired with the media repeating this, most individuals simply can’t cope with it. They assume this may’t occur until there’s actually one thing there, however there isn’t.
Mr. Jekielek: There’s a common understanding that there was a temperature improve and there’s a common understanding that people have been concerned to some extent. How a lot can we really know round that?
Mr. Lindzen: It’s true there’s a greenhouse impact. It’s due primarily to water vapor and clouds. CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide are minor, minor constituents. Roughly talking, if all different issues are stored fixed and also you double CO2, you’d get a bit of beneath one diploma of warming. Now, underlying that assertion is another materials in a way.
As an example, you stated all issues stored equal. There’s something known as Le Châtelier’s precept, which says long-lasting pure methods will resist change, which is to say, suggestions could be unfavorable. Now, in most fashions as we speak, water vapor and clouds are optimistic suggestions.
There’s the underlying assumption that nature will take no matter we do and make it worse. That’s form of an odd assumption, and there’s no foundation for it, however it does give the fashions greater than a bit of beneath a level. It could even carry it to as excessive as three levels.
The subsequent level is that even three levels isn’t that a lot. We’re coping with modifications for a doubling of CO2 on the order of between breakfast and lunch. The thought that folks can’t deal with that may be a little bit unusual. The place does it come from that that is an existential risk?
Apparently, it comes from no place besides the propaganda. Even the UN’s IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] scientific report doesn’t talk about an existential risk. They talk about a discount of GDP [Gross Domestic Product] by 3 p.c by 2100, assuming the GDP has elevated a number of occasions by then. That doesn’t sound existential to most individuals. So, it’s a bit of bit bizarre.
The opposite factor they level to is: if we went to main modifications prior to now, the final glacial most if you had two kilometers of ice over Illinois; or 50 million years in the past if you had a heat interval with alligator-like critters in Svalbard (north of Norway), the imply temperature change was solely 5 levels.
They stated, “Three levels might be one thing critical.” The difficulty is with the change within the warming of the final 150 years or so, there’s no resemblance to the modifications throughout the main change. What occurred throughout the main modifications was that the temperature distinction between the tropics and the pole, within the case of the final glacial most, elevated by 20 levels Celsius [C]. Throughout the heat interval, it decreased by 20 levels [C]. As we speak, it’s about 40. It [the difference between the tropics and the poles] was 20 throughout the heat and was about 60 throughout the glacial interval. In fact, that gave a big change within the [statistical] imply.
Throughout these durations, the tropics remained nearly fixed. Alternatively, the greenhouse change and the noticed change since 1800 or 1880, it doesn’t matter, nearly all occurred within the tropics and there was no change within the tropics to pole, which is strictly completely different. Now, why is that essential?
The tropics to pole temperature distinction relies on the dynamics of the warmth transport by movement. To some extent, the equator relies on the greenhouse impact. The change we’re seeing might be attributable to CO2 a couple of diploma, however it’s not altering from the tropics to pole. Three levels just isn’t one thing amplified on the pole. It’s three levels or one diploma or a half diploma each place.
The thought that that is existential and requires huge modifications is unreasonable. It’s absurd. In a manner, CO2 is the dream of a regulator. If you happen to management CO2, you management respiration. If you happen to management respiration, you management all the pieces. This all the time is one temptation.
The opposite temptation is the vitality sector. Irrespective of how a lot you clear fossil fuels, they are going to all the time produce water vapor and CO2. You have got the entire vitality sector that is likely one of the few sectors that’s within the many trillions of {dollars}. There’s a big alternative there, though it is senseless.
They overlook that CO2 is crucial. We’re treating it as a poison. Most individuals consider the narrative, and so they additionally consider CO2 is harmful. As an example, the focus of CO2 in your mouth is about 40,000 elements per million, versus 400 outdoors. 5,000 is permitted on an area station.
It’s hardly a poison, however worse than that, it’s really important. If you happen to might eliminate 60 p.c of the CO2, we might all be useless. It is rather unusual to name it a pollutant. It’s important for flora, and it’s the idea for photosynthesis. But, as a result of it’s the inevitable product of fossil gasoline burning and the vitality sector, it’s being attacked.
This lengthy interview goes far past what’s quoted above. It consists of the nice hurt that the insurance policies to regulate Carbon Dioxide (CO2) and greenhouse gases are doing to humanity. Lindzen speculates on a few of the the explanation why. Additional, it doesn’t matter what the EU and the US does, it should have little impact on CO2, as a result of the economically rising international locations in Asia (notably China and India) will proceed to construct coal-fired energy crops.
In discussing Africa and elements of Asia Mr Jekielek asks.: “Are they affected by insurance policies compelled on them by these giant establishments that forestall them from growing dependable vitality sources?” Lindzen responds:
Certain, these are individuals who don’t have entry to trendy electrical energy. They’re being informed they need to be frozen in that state. Over a lot of Africa, persons are relying on burning dung for gasoline, which is far more polluting. I used to be simply shocked when the World Financial institution refused financing for a hospital within the Congo until it used renewable vitality. I used to be pondering, ‘Who of those idiots would wish to be operated on in a hospital working on photo voltaic or wind?’”
In discussing the topic of science, Lindzen states:
“I’ve neighbors right here in Newton [Mass]. They’re educated folks and so they’re not silly. They’ve garden indicators saying, ‘We consider in science.’ Science isn’t a perception construction. It isn’t a cult, and it isn’t a faith. However they’ve that signal and so they’re completely unaware of how silly that signal is.
I’ve one pretty eccentric view, which is that I object to science schooling in elementary college, as a result of it’s often simply info about science. It begins youngsters off with the flawed thought of what science is. You must be prepared for science. The scientific revolution was a revolution. It’s the notion that you simply affirm issues with information and also you examine issues. The entire notion {that a} concept might have 100 appropriate predictions, but when it has one incorrect one, there’s something flawed with the speculation, goes towards loads of human pondering. That concept required a sure self-discipline.”
The interview is a good antidote to the US Nationwide Local weather Evaluation (mentioned in TWTW on November 18) which was answerable for presenting pure and human influences on local weather, however the authors ignore Nature and their tasks. A lot of Lindzen’s interview additionally applies to the EPA and its discovering on the results of greenhouse gases, mentioned under. See hyperlinks beneath Altering the Orthodoxy and http://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent20Novpercent2018.pdf
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Choose an Environment: A brand new EPA report is titled: “EPA Report on the Social Value of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Latest Scientific Advances.” The Govt Abstract opens:
This report presents new estimates of the social value of carbon (SC-CO2), social value of methane (SC-CH4), and social value of nitrous oxide (SC-N2O), collectively known as the ‘social value of greenhouse gases’ (SC-GHG). These estimates mirror current advances within the scientific literature on local weather change and its financial impacts and incorporate suggestions made by the Nationwide Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medication (Nationwide Academies 2017). The SC-GHG permits analysts to include the online social advantages of lowering emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG), or the online social prices of accelerating GHG emissions, in benefit-cost evaluation and, when applicable, in decision-making and different contexts. The SCGHG is the financial worth of the online hurt to society from emitting a metric ton of that GHG into the environment in a given yr. In precept, the SC-GHG is a complete metric that features the worth of all future local weather change impacts (each unfavorable and optimistic), together with modifications in internet agricultural productiveness, human well being results, property harm from elevated flood danger, modifications within the frequency and severity of pure disasters, disruption of vitality methods, danger of battle, environmental migration, and the worth of ecosystem providers. The SC-GHG, subsequently, additionally displays the societal internet advantage of lowering emissions of the GHG by a metric ton. The SC-GHG is the theoretically applicable worth to make use of when conducting benefit-cost analyses of insurance policies that have an effect on GHG emissions. In apply, information and modeling limitations restrain the flexibility of SC-GHG estimates to incorporate all bodily, ecological, and financial impacts of local weather change, implicitly assigning a price of zero to the omitted local weather damages. The estimates are, subsequently, a partial accounting of local weather change impacts and sure underestimate the marginal advantages of abatement.
Quite than entering into particulars of this report, the questionable contributions of the Nationwide Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medication (NAS), and the usage of a reduction fee (of future prices) of two.5%, which is under the speed of inflation; TWTW will simply give attention to what’s lacking (omitted).
On July 19, William Happer and Richard Lindzen submitted their feedback on the proposed rule:
“Thanks for the chance to touch upon the Environmental Safety Company’s
(“EPA”) Proposed Rule.
We’re profession physicists who’ve specialised in radiation physics and dynamic warmth switch for many years, topics immediately related to the worldwide warming debate. Every of us has printed over 200 peer-reviewed papers on the science of local weather or intently associated topics. Our curricula vitae are hooked up within the appendix.
On the outset, these feedback are organized round two Supreme Court docket opinions.
First, “‘scientific data’ … should be derived by the scientific technique.” Daubert v. Merrell Prescription drugs, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 593 (1993).
Second, an company rule is “arbitrary and capricious if the company … solely failed to think about an essential side of the issue” and “the related information.” Motor Automobile Producers Affiliation of america, Inc. v. State Farm Mutual Vehicle Insurance coverage Firm, 463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983) (“State Farm”). (It equally is a significant violation of the scientific technique to not contemplate all related information, as elaborated under.)
We show under that (1) EPA failed to think about critically essential elements and information regarding CO2, fossil fuels and local weather change, and (2) EPA relied on quite a few research that violate the scientific technique. Consequently, the Proposed Rule, which might remove fossil gasoline electrical energy crops that present 61% of electrical energy in america, might be disastrous for the nation, for no scientifically justifiable purpose.”
In fact, the EPA ignored these feedback demonstrating that it can’t be bothered by the messy necessities of the scientific technique, notably when it’s on a political mission that may destroy dependable electrical energy era within the US.
What’s omitted within the EPA findings of the most recent science is an understanding of the impact of greenhouse gases that’s revealed by ongoing analysis of the environment over the previous 50 years with the arrival of systematic climate balloon launches and satellites. As a substitute, the EPA depends on assumptions made for 2 completely different synthetic atmospheres, neither certainly one of which approaches the precise environment as it’s understood as we speak.
One assumed environment is that warming impact of CO2 might be doubled by the warming impact by elevated water vapor as mentioned within the 1979 Charney Report and Tim Palmer, The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Local weather Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Assist Us Perceive Our Chaotic World. Palmer is a pioneer of the ensemble technique of local weather forecasting. This hypothetical environment just isn’t associated to Earth’s environment as a result of excessive decision spectroscopy and measuring devices on climate balloons can not discover the rise in water vapor wanted to double the warming from CO2. Principally, the tropics should not cooperating with the fashions. This isn’t to say that atmospheric water vapor just isn’t rising, as a result of it’s. The rise just isn’t solely from will increase in floor temperature from will increase in CO2. It’s primarily coming from El Niño and will increase in subsurface ocean volcanoes.
The EPA’s calculations on social value of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) are primarily based on laboratory measurements through which there isn’t a water vapor, the dominant greenhouse gasoline. John Tindall started his experiments utilizing early spectroscopy in 1859. He acknowledged that water vapor is the strongest absorber of infrared radiation, crucial gasoline influencing Earth’s floor temperature, protecting land lots from deeply freezing at evening and defending life on land. By far, water vapor covers the broadest vary of frequencies of infrared radiation of any greenhouse gasoline and saturates them. Thus, including any greenhouse gasoline in these frequencies does little or nothing to affect temperatures. Methane and nitrous oxide take up infrared radiation in frequencies largely lined by water vapor, thus are ineffective greenhouse gases. The EPA’s use of synthetic atmospheres to make calculations does little greater than create false alarm. It’s unusual that in assessing the greenhouse impact the Environmental Safety Company considers that the gases the forestall Earth from being barren, chilly, and dusty have a extreme social value. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch, Difficult the Orthodoxy, and EPA and different Regulators on the March.
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Helpful Calculations: One of many perplexing issues that authorities businesses keep away from is how the calculate the electrical energy storage necessities if Washington succeeds in its coverage of transferring all electrical energy era to renewables (primarily wind and photo voltaic) to realize internet zero carbon dioxide emissions and ban the usage of fossil fuels. Francis Menton summarizes the efforts of Balázs M. Fekete, et al. who printed tough calculations in Frontiers in Environmental Science, then addressed the shallow criticisms of their calculations in Judith Curry’s Local weather And so on. A part of the summary of the printed paper states:
“The primary impediment to wider adoption of renewable vitality assets is their inherent intermittency. Photo voltaic and wind are, by far, essentially the most ample renewable vitality sources which can be anticipated to take the lion’s share in transitioning to a sustainable future. Intermittency arises at a number of ranges. Probably the most acknowledged are the short-term (minute-by-minute, hourly, or diurnal) variations that must be the simplest to handle. Much less often realized are the seasonal and inter-annual variabilities. Seasonality poses far higher challenges than minute-by-minute or hourly variations as a result of they result in the absence of vitality assets for extended durations of time. Our curiosity is the feasibility of a future the place all vitality (100%) comes from renewable sources leaving no room for fossil fuels. [Emphasis in original]
Of their report, Fekete et al. used “a modified surplus/deficit calculation [as] taught to water engineers to dimension reservoirs for assembly water demand when the water assets range.” It is a sensible strategy to the advanced drawback of vital storage for climate pushed electrical energy era. As Menton writes:
“The actual calculations in Fekete, et al., have a look at information from twelve states of the northeastern U.S. — New England, plus New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, and West Virginia. Quite than utilizing manufacturing information from present wind and photo voltaic amenities, the authors obtained day by day wind pace and photo voltaic irradiation information for the area. For consumption information, the weblog publish states that the authors utilized an assumption of ‘fixed vitality consumption,’ after figuring out that ‘differences due to the season of vitality consumption are comparatively small (deviate by solely 10-15% of the annual common).’ (Maybe this determination might be criticized, however I doubt that it makes any materials distinction to the conclusion.)
And the underside line is:
The storage capability wanted to align energy era from photo voltaic or wind is round 25% of the annual vitality consumption.
In different phrases, you want three months’ price of storage to attempt to make this work. Earlier research that I highlighted in my vitality storage Report — for instance, these of Roger Andrews and Ken Gregory — had calculated storage wants within the vary of 1 to 2 months. Nevertheless, these research solely used one yr’s price of information for every calculation and allowed working the storage steadiness proper right down to zero. If you happen to assume that it’s too dangerous to run the storage proper right down to zero earlier than the steadiness begins to refill, then three months of storage is a way more affordable determine. Certainly, it’s nonetheless slightly conservative.” [Emphasis in original]
Why doesn’t the US Division of Power present related calculations in order that the general public will know what the storage necessities of internet zero might be? Then together with the US Power Data Company (EIA) present estimates of storage prices? Additional, Menton writes that: [Emphasis in original]
“The Fekete weblog publish at Local weather, And so on. accommodates two different topics of curiosity. One pertains to the peer evaluation course of. It seems that one of many peer reviewers made a run at getting the paper blocked, with out stating the character of any substantive criticisms:
One of many reviewers said that ‘The manuscript accommodates elementary errors that can’t be rectified via creator revisions’ with out venturing into any particulars.
Fekete calls this effort ‘unscientific, unjust, and unethical,’ which is once more fairly an understatement. Sadly, such conduct is the norm in what goes by the title ‘local weather science’ as we speak. Thankfully, on this case, one other reviewer was supportive, as was the employees of the journal.
The second topic of additional curiosity within the weblog publish is that one other reviewer criticized the draft paper for alleged ‘lack of references to the ‘plethora of labor’ associated to integrating renewables to the present vitality methods and transitioning to a sustainable vitality future.’ The criticism triggered the authors to ‘roll up their sleeves’ and exit and evaluation some 360 papers really helpful by the critic. Here’s a record of what they discovered:
- The inter-annual and differences due to the season had been not often studied.
- The overwhelming majority of the research had been restricted to diurnal and minute-by-minute variations.
- The publications solely investigated the usage of few hourly storage capacities.
- The first sustainability metric was lowering CO2 emissions.
- Many of the publications had been restricted to low renewable penetration.
- No publication tried to handle full decarbonization.
- Even essentially the most bold ‘deep decarbonization’ eventualities stopped at 25-50% renewable contributions that was thought of ‘excessive renewable penetration’.
And in abstract:
Many of the reviewed papers assumed that photo voltaic and wind might be all the time supplemented by some type of ‘agency era capability’, which is the obfuscated title of utilizing fossil fuels complemented with ‘carbon seize and sequestration’.
In different phrases, the orthodox ‘peer reviewed’ scientific literature is nearly utterly missing in consideration of crucial, elementary drawback of transitioning to an vitality system primarily based on electrical energy generated by the wind and solar. Effectively, now there’s one competent paper within the combine. They are going to do their greatest to disregard it, no less than till the entire wind/photo voltaic factor has conclusively proven that it will possibly’t work.”
Because the above feedback by Lindzen and EPA proposed rules show, peer evaluation is commonly meaningless as a result of it lacks the mandatory bodily proof to be significant. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Variety of the Week: 1 trillion kWh. Utilizing the 25% storage requirement calculated by Fekete, et al. above, and the whole electrical energy consumed by the US in 2022 by the EIA, Menton calculates that the storage requirement for internet zero for the US could be 4 trillion kWh (kilowatt hours). The fee – choose a quantity however a number of occasions the complete Gross Nationwide Product of the US. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
Climategate Continued
Briffa’s Reconstruction
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 8, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/briffas-reconstruction/#gsc.tab=0
Censorship
Michael Shellenberger Uncovers Mass Censorship Of Populism
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: A defense cyber security firm branched into censorship?]
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch
The Function of Greenhouse Gases in Power Switch within the Earth’s Environment
By W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, Mar 3, 2023
Richard Lindzen: Key Factors Local weather Alarmists Get Flawed
Video and Transcript, Epoch.TV, Nov 21, 2023 [accessed Dec 7, 2023]
https://www.theepochtimes.com/epochtv/richard-lindzen-key-points-climate-alarmists-get-wrong-5533100?utm_source=ATLNewsletter&src_src=ATLNewsletter&utm_campaign=atl-2023-11-21&src_cmp=atl-2023-11-21&utm_medium=e-mail&est=eB9nT9GZkp6bCHpercent2Ftu05Iz3Tmo3AO6NYzRBEkUGMyO18yfBsRRjcdPvFRpercent2FpqjJukruVIpercent3D
Proposed Fossil Gasoline Energy Plant Rule: “New Supply Efficiency Requirements for
Greenhouse Gasoline Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Gasoline-Fired
Electrical Producing Models; Emission Tips for Greenhouse Gasoline Emissions From
Current Fossil Gasoline-Fired Electrical Producing Models; and Repeal of the Reasonably priced Clear
Power Rule” (the “Proposed Rule”)
By William Happer and Richard Lindzen, July 19, 2023
One other Essential Thinker Reaches The Apparent Conclusion: Intermittent Renewables Can’t Work On Their Personal
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 3, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-12-3-another-critical-thinker-reaches-the-obvious-conclusion-intermittent-renewables-cant-work-on-their-own
Hyperlink to paper; Storage necessities to mitigate intermittent renewable vitality sources: evaluation for the US Northeast
By Balázs M. Fekete, Frontiers in Environmental Science, Sep 18, 2023
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2023.1076830/full
Hyperlink to publish in Local weather And so on.: Internet-Zero Targets: Sustainable Future or CO2 Obsession Pushed Useless-end?
By Balázs M. Fekete, Local weather And so on., Nov 14, 2023
Local weather Alarmist Declare Truth Checks
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Dee 7, 2023
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate/alarmist_claim_rebuttals_updated/
GHG Forcing: Diminishing Returns (dangerous mitigation math)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 6, 2023
“The saturation impact, the nonlinear, logarithmic relationship between greenhouse gasoline (GHG) forcing and will increase in atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2), is a vital scientific level for the local weather debate. Diminishing returns just isn’t as well-known correctly due to a media blackout on its unfavorable implications for CO2 mitigation (discount) efforts. “[Emphasis in original]
Dubai, We Have a Drawback: No World Temperature Baseline Earlier than 1900
Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: To UN climate science, Earth did not exist before 1900?]
The Doomsday Cult Wants To Recalculate Its Many Failed Predictions
By I & I Editorial Board, Dec 8, 2023
“5 years in the past, then-California Gov. Jerry Brown stated, with nice certainty, that ‘in lower than 5 years, even the worst skeptics might be believers.’ Whereas we’re unsure why some skeptics are in his thoughts worse than others, it’s clear that he was flawed.”
Local weather Change Weekly #490: Preventing for Reality in Local weather Science Is Vital
By H. Sterling Burnett, Atmosphere & Local weather Information, Dec 8, 2023
Defending the Orthodoxy
Your clear inexperienced future *wants* one other 80 million km of excessive voltage traces
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 7, 2023
Hyperlink to report: Lack of ambition and a focus dangers making electrical energy grids the weak hyperlink in clear vitality transitions.
By Employees, IEA, Oct 17, 2023
https://www.iea.org/information/lack-of-ambition-and-attention-risks-making-electricity-grids-the-weak-link-in-clean-energy-transitions
“First-of-its-kind world research finds the world should add or substitute 80 million km of grids by 2040, equal to all grids globally as we speak, to fulfill nationwide local weather targets and assist vitality safety.”
[SEPP Comment: Lack of ambition or lack of stupidity.]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Enhance in ocean-onto-land droughts and their drivers beneath anthropogenic local weather change
By Yansong Guan, et al., Nature, Local weather and Atmospheric Science, Nov 22, 2023
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-023-00523-y
From the paper: Latest research have proven that the anthropogenic sign is clearly detected in modifications in drought traits, akin to frequency, length, and depth. Anthropogenic emissions have additionally resulted in droughts with sooner onset and extra widespread areas
[SEPP Comment: Citations include: “Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China.” Dry spells are now “flash droughts.”]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Sizzling Instances for Hype and Hysterics
By John Mikkelsen, Quadrant, Dec 9, 2023
One other Day, One other Scientific Paper Insists ‘World Warming Is Not Induced By Elevated CO2’
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 7, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: World temperatures, CO2 concentrations and oceans
By Allan T. Emrén, Worldwide Journal of World Warming, June 30, 2023
https://www.inderscienceonline.com/doi/abs/10.1504/IJGW.2023.132276?journalCode=ijgw
Power and Environmental Evaluate: December 4, 2023
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 4, 2023
After Paris!
Cop28 president says there’s ‘no science’ behind calls for for phase-out of fossil fuels
Unique: UAE’s Sultan Al Jaber says phase-out of coal, oil and gasoline would take world ‘again into caves’
By Damian Carrington and Ben Stockton, The Guardian, Dec 3, 2023
https://www.theguardian.com/surroundings/2023/dec/03/back-into-caves-cop28-president-dismisses-phase-out-of-fossil-fuels
“Al Jaber additionally stated a phase-out of fossil fuels wouldn’t permit sustainable growth ‘until you wish to take the world again into caves’.”
Internet Zero Will Take Us “Again Into Caves”, Says COP28 President
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 3, 2023
“Can we now have each COP in UAE, please?”
Financial progress and fossil fuels: The elephant within the room at U.N. local weather convention
By Vijay Jayaraj, Washington Instances, Nov 28, 2023
https://www.washingtontimes.com/information/2023/nov/28/economic-progress-and-fossil-fuels-elephant-in-roo/
Draft local weather summit doc floats fossil gasoline phaseout however gentle on timeline particulars
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 8, 2023
“The draft comes amid a COP summit that has confronted appreciable controversy attributable to its location in Dubai, a significant oil producer, in addition to feedback by the United Arab Emirates’s Sultan al-Jaber casting doubt on the validity of local weather science.”
COP 28 is a very massive fossil gasoline commerce present
By David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 7, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/12/07/cop-28-is-a-really-big-fossil-fuel-trade-show/
John Kerry Spins UN Local weather Summit President’s Feedback That ‘No Science’ Backs Fossil Gasoline Elimination Push
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 4, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/04/john-kerry-spins-no-science-fossil-fuels-cop28-president/
John Kerry says no coal crops must be ‘permitted anyplace on the planet’
By Lauren Irwin, The Hill, Dec 3, 2023
At COP28, John Kerry unveils nuclear fusion technique as a supply of unpolluted vitality
By Jennifer McDermott, AP, Dec 5, 2023
https://apnews.com/article/fusion-nuclear-john-kerry-cop28-climate-power-energy-40ffa257eae528163f68554368cacfee
81,000 Off To Dubai To Get pleasure from The Sunshine & Positive Eating!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 4, 2023
“There appear to be two immutable info about COPs:
• Every assembly sees larger emissions than the one earlier than
• The variety of attendees carries on rising every year.”
COP28 Showcases Globalist Agenda 2030
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 7, 2023
Local weather clowns galore, however what do they squark about?
By Invoice Johnston, WUWT, Oct 6, 2023
“Invoice Johnston is a former senior analysis scientist with the NSW [New South Wales] Division of Pure Assets (abolished in April 2007); which in earlier iterations included the Soil Conservation Service of NSW; the NSW Water Conservation and Irrigation Fee; NSW Division of Planning and Division of Lands.” https://www.bomwatch.com.au/
COP28: China and India Reject Local weather Loss and Harm Calls for
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 4, 2023
[SEPP Comment: The largest and third largest emitters of CO2 didn’t cause past climate change, therefore should not be held responsible for future climate change?]
UN COP 28: Have we dodged the loss and harm risk once more?
By David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 4, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/12/04/un-cop-28-have-we-dodged-the-loss-and-damage-threat-again/
[SEPP Comment: Don’t draw conclusions about any UN groups until the last report is out.]
Issues within the Orthodoxy
World CO2 Emissions Seemingly To Rise By way of 2050–US EIA
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 3, 2023
Hyperlink to report: World CO2 emissions rise via 2050 in most IEO2023 instances
By Kevin Nakolan and Michelle Bowman, EIA, Nov 30, 2023
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/element.php?id=61024&mc_cid=5f58d8297a&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
Many International locations Don’t Precisely Report Emissions
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 3, 2023
“I’m amazed anyone critically thought that international locations like China would ever hassle to report their emissions precisely.”
Looking for a Widespread Floor
NETZERO is impeding progress on UN Sustainable Improvement Objectives
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so on., Dec 5, 2023
“’Working in world vitality and growth, I usually hear folks say, ‘Due to local weather, we simply can’t afford for everybody to dwell our life.’ That viewpoint is worse than patronizing. It’s a type of racism, and it’s making a two-tier world vitality system, with vitality abundance for the wealthy and tiny photo voltaic lamps for Africans.’ – Kenyan activist and supplies scientist Rose Mutiso.”
Fashions v. Observations
Scientists mix local weather fashions for extra correct projections
By Reece Brown, Oak Ridge Nationwide Laboratory, Phys.org, Nov 16, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2023-11-scientists-combine-climate-accurate.html
Hyperlink to paper: Bayesian weighting of local weather fashions primarily based on local weather sensitivity
By Elias C. Massoud, et al., Nature, Communications Earth & Atmosphere, Oct 20, 2023
From the summary: Making the most of a number of traces of proof used to assemble the very best estimate of the earth’s local weather sensitivity, the Bayesian Mannequin Averaging framework produces an unbiased posterior chance distribution of mannequin weights. The up to date multi-model ensemble tasks end-of-century world imply floor temperature will increase of two°C for a low emissions situation (SSP1-2.6) and 5°C for a excessive emissions situation (SSP5-8.5). These estimates are decrease than these produced utilizing a easy multi-model imply for the CMIP6 ensemble…. Our outcomes showcase Bayesian Mannequin Averaging as a path ahead to challenge future local weather change that’s commensurate with the out there scientific proof.”
[SEPP Comment: Ignoring the real atmosphere with questionable statistics. Science is about cause and effect, and these statistics are not causative.]
Measurement Points — Floor
Erasing Thermometer Knowledge
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 7, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/erasing-thermometer-data/#gsc.tab=0
“’Knowledge storage availability within the Nineteen Eighties meant that we weren’t in a position to maintain the a number of sources for some websites, solely the station sequence after adjustment for homogeneity points. We, subsequently, don’t maintain the unique uncooked information however solely the value-added (i.e. high quality managed and homogenized) information.’” – The Climatic Analysis Unit (CRU) on the college of East Anglia (UEA)
[SEPP Comment: They didn’t bother to store the data on tape drives?]
Measurement Points — Environment
World Temperature Report, November 2023
Earth System Science Heart, UAH, Dec 2, 2023
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2023/November2023/202311_Map.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2023/November2023/202311_Bar.png
Textual content: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2023/November2023/GTR_202311NOV_v1.pdf
“A observe in regards to the world temperature pattern. For a number of years now, the pattern has been extraordinarily near +0.135 °C/decade. This previous July, the edge of 0.135 was crossed at +0.1352 °C/decade. The worldwide pattern is now +0.14 °C/decade by rounding up.”
UAH November 2023: Ocean Stays Heat, Land Cools
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 4, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Includes graph on the sharp increase of stratospheric water vapor (20 to 80 km altitude) from the Hunga-Tonga eruption.]
Altering Climate
Excessive Earth And Area Climate Of 1859
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 8, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/extreme-earth-and-space-weather-of-1859/#gsc.tab=0
Embarrassed Specialists Flip-Flop, Now Warn: “Will Snow Extra Closely In Coming Years”!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 8, 2023
“’Quite, they are saying, the snow is an indication of local weather change: snow is changing into rarer, however when it does snow, it’s heavy. One purpose: attributable to world warming, it rains extra, particularly within the fall and winter. The utterly wet November confirmed this.’”
Munich Document December Snow Depth Reveals That Climate Surprises Us Once more And Once more
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 5, 2023
The Darkness
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 7, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/12/the-darkness.html
“Under is a plot of incoming photo voltaic radiation from the WSU AgWeather community website in Seattle (close to the UW) over the previous yr.
The final two days have been abysmal, with 0.57 and 0.87 MJ (megajoules) per sq. meter. Throughout the midsummer we frequently get above 30.
To place it one other manner, throughout mid-summer we are able to get round 50 occasions extra warming rays from the solar than throughout the previous few days. “
Subtropical Heat, Heavy Rain, and Filling Reservoirs
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 5, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/12/subtropical-warmth-heavy-rain-and.html
“You didn’t need to journey to Hawaii this morning to expertise subtropical heat or tropical-intensity showers. It was right here within the Pacific Northwest.”
Altering Local weather
New Research: The ‘World Tropics As A Entire’ Have been As Heat Or Hotter Than As we speak 10,000 Years In the past
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 4, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Reversed Holocene temperature–moisture relationship within the Horn of Africa
By A. J. Baxter, et al., Nature, Aug 9, 2023
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06272-5
From Summary: “Right here we use natural geochemical climate-proxy information from the sediment report of Lake Chala (Kenya and Tanzania) to probe the soundness of the hyperlink between hydroclimate and temperature over roughly the previous 75,000 years, therefore encompassing a sufficiently big selection of temperatures to check the ‘dry will get drier, moist will get wetter’ paradigm6 of anthropogenic local weather change within the time area. We present that the optimistic relationship between efficient moisture and temperature in easternmost Africa throughout the cooler final glacial interval shifted to unfavorable across the onset of the Holocene 11,700 years in the past, when the atmospheric carbon dioxide focus exceeded 250 elements per million and imply annual temperature approached modern-day values. Thus, at the moment, the price range between monsoonal precipitation and continental evaporation crossed a tipping level such that the optimistic affect of temperature on evaporation grew to become higher than its optimistic affect on precipitation.” [Boldface added]
[SEPP Comment: It returned after crossing a tipping point?]
Altering Seas
Café Latte Coral & The Bump Heads
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Dec 8, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Parrot fish eat corals claimed to be endangered? Make them stop?]
Altering Earth
Not Brought on by Local weather Change: The Sinking of Joshimath
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Dec 4, 2023
Reducing Requirements
Why Tropical Storms Seem To Be Extra Frequent
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2023
“Dr Neil Frank, who was Director of the US Nationwide Hurricane Heart [NHC] from 1974 to 1987 goes additional, sustaining that lots of the storms now named wouldn’t have been in his day.
He made two specific complaints about present strategies in 2021:
1) Many named storms are literally winter storms, not tropical storms. He states that the primary six tropical storms in 2020 wouldn’t have been counted in his time.
2) These days the NHC rushes to call a storm, merely primarily based on wind speeds. His crew would have waited till the central stress dropped to verify that it actually was a tropical storm, and never only a thunderstorm. This usually explains why named storms are sometimes so quick lasting now.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Jim Dale Schooled Once more!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2023
“The media’s favourite local weather alarmist, meteorologist Jim Dale, will get one other lesson from local weather scientist Paul Burgess, who’s now getting extra snug in his TV position:”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Brewing fact: Local weather doomsayers’ cooked up espresso disaster
By Vijay Jayaraj, American Thinker, Dec 7, 2023
https://www.americanthinker.com/weblog/2023/12/brewing_truth_climate_doomsayers_cooked_up_coffee_crisis.html
“Brazil and Vietnam are the highest two espresso bean producers. Each international locations have seen exceptional will increase of their yield, with Vietnam’s manufacturing climbing from 0.54 tons per acre in 2002 to 1.11 tons per acre in 2021. In the meantime, Brazil’s yield has additionally proven important progress, rising from 0.49 tons per acre in 2002 to 0.87 tons per acre in 2020.”
An Imaginary Warming Pattern
By Tona Heller, Dec 7, 2023
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/an-imaginary-warming-trend/#gsc.tab=0
CNN Arithmetic
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 8, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/cnn-mathematics/#gsc.tab=0
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
The newest survey on the “twin carbon” objective: greater than seventy p.c of consultants consider that China can obtain the objective of carbon peaking.
In contrast with final yr’s survey outcomes, this yr’s consultants are extra optimistic about China’s timing of carbon peaking.
By Yu Juan YJ, Jiemian Information (translated from Chinese language), Nov 20, 2023
https://www.jiemian.com/article/10419850.html
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
No, CNN, Local weather Change is Not Costing the U.S. Billions
By Linnea Lueken, Local weather Realism, Dec 1, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Weather was stable before governments discovered climate change?]
Revealed: How rising temperatures will have an effect on our airports, rail community and energy stations (Or not!)
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2023
“Danger assessors checked out round 22,000 buildings and different infrastructure property for Sky Information utilizing a “digital twin” of the UK to mannequin how they fared at two completely different climates within the yr 2100.”
From Homewood: “Local weather X, who produced this bunkum for Sky [News], earn their cash from advising companies on local weather dangers.
For my part, any firms which pay this tin pot firm a penny are throwing shareholders’ cash down the drain. They’d be higher off asking Mystic Meg!”
Why Received’t these Troglodytes Belief Us and How, How, How! Can We Lastly Get By way of to THEM?!!! Quantity Eleventy Zillion
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 5, 2023
Hyperlink to paper, Psychological inoculation methods to combat local weather disinformation throughout 12 international locations.
By Tobia Spampatti, et al., Nature Human Behaviour, Nov 30, 2023
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-023-01736-0
[SEPP Comment: Only they have true climate information?]
Privileged King Lectures Us On Local weather
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 4, 2023
Video: [SEPP Comment: Statements include How dangerous are we willing to make the world/ Alarming tipping points are being reached! We belong to the Earth. We are running out of time – time after time.]
Revenge Of The Feudalists
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2023
“‘The Earth doesn’t belong to us’, stated King Charles at COP28 in Dubai final week. I don’t find out about that, Your Majesty: loads of it definitely belongs to your loved ones.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Kids for Propaganda
“Kids simply aren’t going to know what snow is”
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 3, 2023
[SEPP Comment; Photos of snow in UK on December 2.]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
French Farmers Dump Manure on Authorities Buildings to Protest Local weather Hysteria
By Paul Joseph Watson, Modernity, Dec 8, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://modernity.information/2023/12/08/french-farmers-dump-manure-on-government-buildings-to-protest-climate-hysteria/
“They’re not messing round.”
Simply Cease The Pylons
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2023
Pylons are electrical energy transmission and distribution towers.
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Unique: Younger adults present heavy curiosity in Biden’s “Local weather Corps”
By Ben Geman, Axios, Dec 1, 2023
https://www.axios.com/2023/12/01/biden-climate-corps
“They’ll obtain a compensation bundle ‘equal to $15/hour and consists of lodging, transportation, clothes, a residing allowance, well being advantages, and extra.’”
Wildlife Belief and COP28
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 4, 2023
Questioning European Inexperienced
Rishi’s Empty Rhetoric
By Andrew Montford, Internet Zero Watch, Dec 4, 2023
“Nelson is sort of appropriate that the entire drive for Internet Zero drive a fantasy. It’s the triumph of political posturing and bureaucratic trickery over rational decisionmaking.”
Huge Village [Heat] Pump Will Value £40,000 Per Family
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2023
“The reality is attending to internet zero goes to value cash’, says the berk [fool] behind the challenge.
He was not kidding!”
Value of latest greener Elgin procurator fiscal workplace rises to £3.5m
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2023
“The decarbonisation challenge price range was put at £2.2m earlier this yr, however that has now risen 59% to £3.5m.”
Scottish Govt Accused Of Bullying Owners Over Warmth Pumps
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 5, 2023
Inexperienced Jobs
The Crippling Financial Prices of Inexperienced Power Subsidies
By Jonathan Lesser, Actual Clear Power, Dec 5, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/05/the_crippling_economic_costs_of_green_energy_subsidies_997062.html
“One gauge of the hostile financial impacts of inexperienced subsidies is the fee to taxpayers to create the promised 1000’s of inexperienced vitality jobs, particularly for offshore wind. Utilizing offshore wind builders’ claimed employment impacts, the typical subsidy for every inexperienced job created might be over $2 million per yr.’ [Emphasis in original]
Non-Inexperienced Jobs
The autumn of Academia: half of US firms are lowering necessities for Bachelor’s levels.
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 5, 2023
EPA and different Regulators on the March
EPA lays groundwork for stronger local weather guidelines
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 5, 2023
Hyperlink to new EPA calculations: EPA Report on the Social Value of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Latest Scientific Advances
By Nationwide Heart for Environmental Economics Workplace of Coverage, EPA, November 2023
Power Points – Non-US
Canadian Local weather Coverage: Reasonableness Wanted
By Rob Ivany, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 7, 2023
“Local weather coverage or in any other case, we’ve stopped speaking to one another and began shouting, making use of labels, and name-calling. We’ve allowed activism, extremism, and political expediency to take level on essentially the most critical problems with our time.”
Power Points — US
Ellenbogen: New York State’s Power Transition
By Roger Caiazza, WUWT, Dec 2, 2023
“Richard Ellenbogen just lately gave an essential presentation on New York State’s Power Transition that particulars his considerations with the online -zero mandate of the Local weather Management and Neighborhood Safety Act (CLCPA). I feel it is necessary that his message will get out to all New Yorkers.”
Biden’s local weather agenda creates vitality poverty in tribal nations
By Sen. Steve Daines and Kathleen Sgamma, Washington Examiner, Dec 8, 2023
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/bidens-climate-agenda-creates-energy-poverty-tribal-nations
To Meet Hovering Demand for Uncommon Minerals, America Must College Extra Mining Engineers
By Jim Constantopoulos, Actual Clear Power, Dec 6, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/06/to_meet_soaring_demand_for_rare_minerals_america_needs_to_school_more_mining_engineers_997319.html
Washington’s Management of Power
Effort to safeguard public lands sparks battle in Wyoming
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Dec 6, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Claims millions of acres remain for oil and gas development, but it locks up the most probable lands for successful development.]
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Document U.S. oil manufacturing is pushing costs down
By Matt Phillips, Axios, Dec 5, 2023
https://www.axios.com/2023/12/05/us-oil-production-record
Nuclear Power and Fears
NuScale: Small Reactors, Huge Authorized Issues
By Kennedy Maize, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 5, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
The Case Towards Offshore Wind
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 8, 2023
“I’ve subsequently ready a Factsheet, which I present under.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
Turning Meals into Jet Gasoline
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Dec 6, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
Compelled EV Transition clients received’t purchase EV’s say 3,882 automobile sellers to Joe Biden
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 4, 2023
Predictably, the Rush to Electrical Vehicles Is Imploding
By Levi Russell, Actual Clear Power, Dec 5, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/05/predictably_the_rush_to_electric_cars_is_imploding_997056.html
“A just lately printed article within the peer-reviewed educational journal Transportation Analysis tells us that automobiles, even the supposedly anointed battery electrical selection, are far too handy and that the state should be empowered to “prohibit automobile use.” The authors inform us that changing automobile lanes to bus lanes have lowered automobile use in Oslo. No shock there. The truth that academia is floating this type of coverage ought to concern anybody who has any inkling of distrust of the federal authorities. Really our freedom of motion is in peril.”
Rishi Sunak suffers giant rise up towards the Zero Emission Automobile Mandate
Press Launch, Internet Zero Watch, Dec 5, 2023
Well being, Power, and Local weather
Local weather Change Is Not Threatening Human Well being
By Linnea Lueken, American Thinker, Dec 2, 2023
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2023/12/climate_change_is_not_threatening_human_health.html
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
Saving Santa Catalina
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Dec 7, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Although deer eat grass, they have difficulty digesting it and it provides few nutrients, thus deer prefer other, more nutritious foods.]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
The Lethal Geo-engineering Concept which Refuses to Die
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 7, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Estimating world agricultural results of geoengineering utilizing volcanic eruptions.
By Jonathan Proctor, et al, Nature, Aug 8, 2018
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0417-3
Unreal!
Most Deserving Of A Lump Of Coal
By I & I Editorial Board, Dec 5, 2023
“Local weather czar John Kerry, who should have nightmares of everybody’s carbon footprint however his personal, desires of outlawing coal-fired energy crops internationally. Doing so is “how you are able to do one thing for well being,” he stated from the United Nations twenty eighth world warming cocktail social gathering in oil-rich Abu Dhabi. Avoiding blackouts and holding down electrical energy costs are additionally good for well being, however well being just isn’t what the warming activists are concerned with.”
David Viner’s Blunder Saved For Posterity
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Dec 4, 2023
“Snowfalls at the moment are only a factor of the previous.” – March 2000
German Photo voltaic Bike Path Produced Inexperienced Energy – For $1100 A Kilowatt-Hour!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 3, 2023
“Retired economics professor Stefan Homburg commented on the boondoggle at X: ‘At first I assumed the video was humorous. However the present authorities is at the moment experimenting with our whole economic system. They name it ‘transformation.’. In fact, a harmful phantasm.’”
UN Local weather Summit Contains Session On ‘Accountable Yachting’
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 5, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/05/elite-climate-summit-united-nations-responsible-yachting/
[SEPP Comment: No fuel, just sail? Is Responsible Flying next?]
ARTICLES
1. The Reality About Internet Zero, at Final
Local weather enthusiasm hits the political wall as voters face the prices.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Dec. 8, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/cop28-net-zero-carbon-emissions-climate-sultan-al-jaber-da4b4763?mod=opinion_lead_pos4
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins:
“The nice and good of politics and enterprise have converged on Dubai this week for the worldwide local weather convention often known as COP28, and by now they need to want they hadn’t. The occasion has finished the one factor such confabs are supposed by no means to do, which is expose the reality about local weather change and the race to net-zero carbon emissions.
The reality-teller in chief is the occasion’s host, Sultan Al Jaber. He’s turn into a determine of hate on the eco-left since letting slip that he’s a net-zero skeptic. ‘There is no such thing as a science on the market, or no situation on the market, that claims that the phase-out of fossil gasoline is what’s going to realize 1.5 [degrees Celsius],’ he stated of the local weather trade’s world temperature goal throughout a digital occasion final month. He warned that trying to wean the world off fossil fuels would ‘take the world again into caves.’
The web-zero apostles say the political chief and head of the state oil firm in a significant petroleum-producing nation by no means ought to have been invited to host COP28. However then somebody has to drill the oil that powers the personal jets that ferry the bigwigs to those confabs.
The larger embarrassment for the local weather left is that voters agree with Mr. Jaber. If you happen to haven’t paid a lot consideration to COP28 this week, maybe you’ve learn in regards to the collapse of the net-zero agenda world wide.
In no specific order:
• The European Union’s Inexperienced Deal is on the rocks, barely 4 years after it was unveiled to nice fanfare. Key parts of this system, particularly regarding land conservation, have withered on contact with the European Parliament, and enthusiasm for the remaining is waning. Brussels frets it will possibly’t maintain tempo with the subsidies in America’s Inflation Discount Act—as a result of Europe doesn’t have the cash.
• In the UK in September, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ditched an electric-vehicle mandate that had been attributable to kick in by 2030. This nonetheless didn’t spare him a revolt by his personal Conservative Social gathering members of Parliament this week as greater than two dozen voted towards a backdoor try to impose on auto makers a quota for gross sales of latest EVs. The quota handed however Mr. Sunak is on discover.
Mr. Sunak’s administration additionally guarantees to concern new licenses for oil and gasoline drilling within the North Sea—a coverage the opposition Labour Social gathering appears unlikely to reverse if Labour wins an election anticipated subsequent yr. Labour has scaled again its personal inexperienced spending pledges as a result of the social gathering suspects voters could be cautious of such a big fiscal dedication.
• The objective is to keep away from the embarrassment that befell the center-left in elections within the Netherlands final month. That vote was a rebuff of Frans Timmermans, the politician beforehand in control of the EU’s Inexperienced Deal. Voters as an alternative turned to a politician on the best, Geert Wilders, who has little time for internet zero. The election could have been motivated extra by immigration considerations, however voters beforehand had elevated a brand new anti-environmental-regulation farmers’ social gathering to be the biggest faction within the Parliament’s higher home as a protest towards emissions restrictions in agriculture.
• Germany is slipping into political disarray after a courtroom ruling in mid-November disallowed the price range gimmick Berlin deliberate to make use of to finance its net-zero pledges. By forcing tens of billions of euros of inexperienced spending again onto to the federal government’s steadiness sheet from the slush funds the place politicians hoped to cover the expense, the ruling has confronted voters with the true prices of internet zero. The selection now might be between social welfare and local weather, and the fiscal and political math imperils Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s coalition.
***
The widespread denominator is actuality. European international locations, just like the U.S., are discovering that regardless of how exhausting they push on the net-zero string, prices by no means come down, inexperienced jobs by no means materialize to switch industrial employment, and the subsidy invoice by no means declines.”
The editorial concludes that growing international locations would not have the posh of enjoying carbon video games.
