The Week That Was: 2024-02-03 (February 3, 2024)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “Give me a lever lengthy sufficient and a fulcrum on which to put it, and I shall transfer the world.” – Archimedes
Variety of the Week: 10 Instances
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: Daniel Nebert’s essay that the local weather disaster is a fairy story is offered. The video sequence Juice is mentioned. Gwythian Prins presents the failure of insurance policies of changing reasonably priced, dependable electrical energy from coal, oil, fuel, and nuclear with wind and photo voltaic from a philosophical standpoint. The deceptive use of graphs is introduced up. And the rising failure {of electrical} autos is offered.
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Fairy Story: The American Thinker revealed an essay by physician-scientist Daniel Nebert addressing among the uncertainties ignored in authorities local weather science. Afterwards meteorologist Chuck Wiess made just a few further suggestions to right sure errors. The corrected model is beneath (reproduced with permission by the writer):
Immediately’s ‘Local weather Disaster’ is a Fairy Story
By Daniel Nebert, January 30, 2024
The worldwide warming story just isn’t a benign fantasy. It’s significantly damaging Western economies. In January 2021, the White Home ridiculously declared that ‘local weather change is essentially the most severe existential risk to humanity.’ From there, America went from vitality independence again to vitality dependence. One other consequence has been the looks of quite a few firms whose aim is to ‘sequester CO2’ in addition to ‘sequester carbon’ from our environment. Nevertheless, this so-called ‘resolution’ is scientifically unimaginable. Life on Earth relies on carbon! CO2 is plant meals! CO2 is a colorless, odorless fuel! CO2 just isn’t a pollutant!
The proof contradicting the local weather apocalypse is huge. Some comes from evaluation of Greenland and Antarctica ice through which air trapped at varied depths reveals CO2 ranges of previous local weather. Proxy information from marine sediment, mud (from erosion, wind-blown deposition of sediments) and ice cores present a file of previous sea ranges, ice quantity, seawater temperature and international atmospheric temperatures.
From his seminal work whereas prisoner of conflict throughout WWI, Serbian mathematician Milutin Milankovitch defined how local weather is influenced by variations within the Earth’s uneven orbit, axial tilt, and rotational wobble — every going by means of cycles lasting so long as 120,000 years.
It’s well known that Glacial Durations of about 95,000 years, interspersed with Interglacial Durations of roughly 25,000 years correspond with Milankovitch Cycles. A number of incursions of glaciers occurred throughout the Pleistocene, an epoch lasting from about 2.6 million to 11,700 years in the past, when Earth’s final Glacial Interval ended. Round 24,000 years in the past, present-day Lake Erie was coated with ice a mile thick.
Inside every Interglacial Interval, there’ve been warming durations, or ‘Mini-Summers.’ For instance, inside the present Holocene Interglacial, there have been hotter durations often known as the Minoan (1500 – 1200 BC), Roman (250 BC – 400 AD) and Medieval (900 – 1300 AD). Our Fashionable Warming Interval started with the waning of the Little Ice Age (1300-1850). Immediately’s Mini-Summer time is colder up to now than all earlier Mini-Summers of the final 8,500 years.
How did CO2 get blamed for international warming? French physicist Joseph Fourier (1820s) proposed that vitality from daylight should be balanced by vitality radiated again into house. Irish physicist John Tyndall (1850s) carried out laboratory experiments on ‘greenhouse gases’ (GHGs), together with water vapor; he proposed that CO2 elicited an essential impact on temperature. Nevertheless, it’s unimaginable to do acceptable experiments — until the roof of your laboratory is not less than six miles excessive.
Swedish chemist Svante Arrhenius (1896) proposed that ‘warming is proportional to the logarithm of CO2 focus. Columbia College geochemist Wallace Broecker (1975) and Columbia College Adjunct Professor James Hansen (1981) wrote oft-cited articles in Science journal, each overstating the perils of CO2 inflicting harmful international warming — with out offering scientific proof.
Most of Earth’s vitality comes from the solar. Absorption of daylight causes molecules of objects or surfaces to vibrate sooner, growing their temperature; this vitality is then re-radiated by land and oceans as longwave, infrared radiation (warmth). Princeton College physicist Will Happer defines a GHG as that which absorbs negligible incoming daylight however captures a considerable fraction of thermal radiation as it’s re-radiated from Earth’s floor and atmospheric GHGs again into house.
The gases of nitrogen, oxygen, and argon — comprising 78%, 21%, and 0.93%, respectively, of the environment — present negligible absorption of thermal radiation and subsequently will not be GHGs. Vital GHGs embody water (common of two%, with a spread of 1% to five%), CO2 (0.042%, or 420 elements per million (ppm) by quantity), methane (0.00017%) and nitrous oxide (0.0000334%, or 334 elements per billion). Water vapor (clouds) has not less than 100 instances better warming impact on Earth’s temperature than all different GHGs mixed. [In clear skies the influence of CO2 is more important than indicated. The influence of clouds is significant, but not understood.]
As atmospheric CO2 will increase, its GHG impact decreases: CO2’s warming impact is 1.5oC between zero and 20 ppm, 0.3oC between 20 and 40 ppm,and 0.15oC between 40 and 60 ppm. Each doubling of atmospheric CO2 from in the present day’s ranges decreases radiation again into house by a mere 1%. For a lot of the previous 800,000 years, Earth’s atmospheric CO2 has ranged between about 180 ppm and 320 ppm; beneath 150 ppm, Earth’s crops couldn’t exist, and all life could be extinguished.
Immediately’s international atmospheric CO2 ranges are ~420 ppm; even at these ranges, crops are ‘partially CO2-starved.’ Actually, normal procedures for industrial greenhouse growers embody elevating CO2 to 800-1200 ppm; this enhances progress and crop yield ~20-50%. As proven by satellite tv for pc since 1978, increased atmospheric CO2 has helped ‘inexperienced’ the Earth by greater than 15 p.c, considerably enhancing crop manufacturing.
If international atmospheric CO2 was ~280 ppm in 1750, and it’s ~420 ppm in the present day, what’s the supply of this 140-ppm enhance? Scientists estimate that human-associated industrial emissions may need contributed 135 ppm — with ‘pure causes’ accounting for the remaining 5 ppm.
In Earth’s historical past, the best ranges of atmospheric CO2 (6,000-9,000 ppm) occurred about 550-450 million years in the past, which brought on flora to flourish. CO2 ranges in older nuclear submarines routinely operated at 7000 ppm, whereas newer subs preserve CO2 within the 2,000-5,000-ppm vary. In the meantime, ice-core information during the last 800,000 years present no correlation between global-warming or -cooling cycles and atmospheric CO2 ranges.
CO2 in our lungs reaches 40,000-50,000 ppm, which induces us to take our subsequent breath. Every human exhales about 2.3 kilos of CO2 per day, which implies Earth’s 8 billion individuals produce day by day 18.4 billion kilos CO2. However people symbolize only one/fortieth of all CO2-excreting life on Earth. Multiplying 18.4 billion kilos by 40 equals 736 billion kilos of CO2 per day. This approximates the general CO2 excreted by the whole animal and fungal biomass on the planet.
Worldwide industrial CO2 emissions in 2022 had been estimated to be 38.5 billion metric tons per 12 months. If one metric ton is 2,200 kilos, then ‘whole industrial emissions’ quantity to 84.7 trillion kilos per 12 months, or 232 billion kilos of CO2 per day. Which means all the animal and fungal biomass (736 billion kilos) places out greater than thrice as a lot CO2 as all industrial emissions (232 billion kilos)!
Can any clear-thinking individual comprehend the details above and nonetheless create an organization with idiotic plans to ‘sequester CO2’ or ‘sequester carbon’? Scientifically, ‘net-zero’ and ‘carbon footprint’ are meaningless phrases. There isn’t a ‘local weather disaster.’
In the event you attempt to discover these details on the net, good luck! Out of each 10 ‘hits’ on any local weather matter, you’ll be fortunate to seek out one or two websites with truthful scientific information. The door of a close-by classroom shows a poster of Abraham Lincoln with the caption: ‘Don’t imagine all the things you learn on the web.’ It’s recommendation that our sixteenth president certainly would have provided — had he lived to see the rise of this international warming quasi-religion.”
Daniel W Nebert is Professor Emeritus in Gene-Atmosphere Interactions on the College of Cincinnati School of Medication. He thanks Professor Will Happer (one of many CO2 Coalition administrators) and Chuck Wiese (fellow CO2 Coalition member) for useful discussions.
For the model revealed in American Thinker see hyperlink beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Juice: The trendy electrical grid is without doubt one of the best developments of contemporary civilization and an excellent profit to all those that are served by it. It may be thought of to have three essential elements working collectively: 1) era; 2) transmission; and three) distribution. The grid was constructed with the aim of offering a public service to those that depend on it. After the Chicago World’s Truthful of 1893 confirmed off the splendor of electrical mild, cities, then rural areas clamored for electrical energy. City utilities offered electrical energy to cities and co-ops had been fashioned to offer electrical energy to extra rural areas. Within the Nineteen Thirties the Federal Authorities stepped-in, constructing dams and electrifying the steadiness of the nation with the Rural Electrification Administration. By 1950 near 80 p.c of the farms within the US had electrical energy from the grid, changing windmills and different units to generate electrical energy. The aim was to offer reasonably priced, dependable electrical energy. The UK and Germany are demonstrating that there’s nothing reasonably priced and dependable about utilizing photo voltaic and wind to switch thermal era from coal, oil, fuel, and nuclear. Sadly, many in Washington and sure different states don’t understand the significance of reasonably priced, dependable electrical energy and are selling new fads.
Skilled vitality commentator Robert Bryce produced a sequence of 5 movies, every about 20 minutes, that clearly present the fragility of the present grid that is determined by photo voltaic, wind, and just-in-time pure fuel (fuel energy crops with out storage). The 5 elements are:
1. Texas Blackout
2. “Undermined by Enron — Enron Company could have declared chapter in 2001, however the firm’s impact on America’s electrical grid can nonetheless be seen in the present day in states like California and Texas, the place energy costs are hovering, and reliability is declining. The push to deal with electrical energy as a commodity as a substitute of a service is especially punishing in California, the place electrical energy costs are growing thrice sooner than in the remainder of the U.S.”
3. Inexperienced Goals
4. Nuclear Renaissance
5. “Industrial Cathedrals — America is stricken by short-term pondering, significantly relating to our electrical grid. If we’re going to be severe about vitality safety, vitality entry, and local weather change, we have to make our electrical grid weather-resilient, not weather-dependent. That can require pondering long-term. It’s going to require embracing fission. It’s going to require us to contemplate our nuclear energy crops because the crowning achievements of our society. It’s going to require us to see them, as Emmet Penney does, as ‘industrial cathedrals.’”
Writing in Energy Line, Steven Hayward extremely recommends the sequence however questions a few of its implications. He writes:
“Herewith the second installment of Robert Bryce’s new documentary, ‘Juice’ Energy, Politics, and the Grid,’ through which he takes up the topic of electrical energy deregulation within the Nineties and the position of Enron within the California debacle of 2000. I’m undecided I totally agree with Robert’s narrative of this essential coverage shift—for one factor, ‘de-regulation’ isn’t actually correct, because it was actually a regulatory restructuring—however this episode is worthy of viewing to the top for its second half, the place Robert contains a grassroots group or left-leaning (or previously) left leaning civil rights housing activists who’ve acknowledged that environmentalism—moderately than racism—is their most potent foe.”
See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Failure: A famous safety specialist, Professor emeritus Gwythian Prins of the London College of Economics (and Political Science) writes that the “Internet Zero” plan of changing coal, oil, and pure fuel with wind and photo voltaic creates a nationwide safety downside for the UK. He states:
“Now that we will clarify why the Hansen 1988 ‘management knob’ CO2/international temperature close-coupling speculation doesn’t maintain, which is the foremost discovering of thirty 5 years of worldwide local weather techniques analysis, however as a substitute is vitiated by two elementary errors in its idea of data and by a significant technical error by the IPCC (see Archimedes’ Fulcrum pp. 9-13), we will extra precisely assess the dangers from anthropogenic CO2 emissions to international safety, relative to different dangers, and adapt to them. As ‘depraved’ issues, they can’t be mitigated as a result of there isn’t any enough understanding of trigger and impact.” [Boldface added]
In Archimedes’ Fulcrum, Prins provides the important thing variations between “depraved” and “tame” issues. ‘Tame’ issues have the next traits:
Bounded; May be exactly formulated; ‘True-false’ options – scientific standards; Waypoint and closing checks potential; Trial and error by repeated experiment; Definable units of potential options; Speculation refinement by iterative Popperian falsification regular; ‘Tame’ issues inhabit wealthy classifications; Begin-point worth judgements extra contestable; and No detrimental reckoning for Popperian falsifiers conducting iterative experimentation: the opposite.
‘Depraved’ issues have the next traits:
Unbounded; No definitive formulation of downside; No ‘stopping rule’ on information assortment; ‘Good-bad’ options – moral standards; No instant and no final check; Interventions are all the time ‘one shot’; No enumerable set of potential options; Speculation refinement by iterative Popperian falsification not potential; Each ‘depraved’ downside distinctive and could be seen to be a symptom of one other; Alternative of rationalization prescribes the character of chosen optic [view], and that in flip the selection of putative resolution; and These making interventions will not be granted the suitable to be unsuitable by these affected by their ‘one shot’ actions. [Boldface added]
From this listing we will see why advocates of depraved issues take into account themselves proof against criticism. Their view can’t be criticized from normal testing with bodily proof. Prins writes:
‘To use the logic and procedures relevant to ‘tame’ issues to ‘depraved’ issues is a elementary class mistake in selection of idea of data.’
The shortcoming to objectively criticize the work of local weather change advocates could be seen within the ebook The Primacy of Doubt: From Quantum Physics to Local weather Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Assist Us Perceive Our Chaotic World by Tim Palmer a pioneer of the ensemble strategy of local weather modeling. It’s attention-grabbing that Palmer invokes the sphere of Quantum Physics, for Richard Feynman, whose Nobel was in in Quantum Physics insisted that in Bodily Science nature was the ultimate and supreme choose of an idea. Whether it is inconsistent with nature, it’s unsuitable. Quantum Physicist John Clauser, a 2022 Nobel recipient, appears to have a view much like Feynman.
Moreover, Prins writes:
“Because the selection of rationalization prescribes the character of chosen putative resolution and since pc simulations of the local weather are central within the suite of strategies of study used, a second class mistake producing a second error within the idea of data routinely happens. Laptop simulations produce projections: views of potential futures delimited by their beginning assumptions. But politicians longing for grist to the legislative mill are routinely vulnerable to take projections as agency predictions. Meantime, scientifically illiterate eco-zealots set such projections, mis-described as predictions, in stone. These are cemented with claims alongside the traces of ‘x% of scientists can’t be unsuitable: ‘the science is settled’. By these mis-matchings, each teams use a doubly faulty idea of data. By so doing, they commit what Alfred North Whitehead named the ‘fallacy of misplaced concreteness.’ As he famously noticed, ‘not ignorance, however ignorance of ignorance is the demise of data’.” [Boldface at the end is added, previously it was italics in the original. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.
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Graphs: Many politicians and commentators are numerically illiterate and do not understand how to read graphs. Recently, Gavin Schmidt, the director of NASA-GISS, objected to Roy Spencer’s essay discussed in last week’s TWTW including the manner in which Roy Spencer presents graphs. Spencer plots graphs comparing different datasets by beginning at the beginning of the dataset. This clearly shows the divergence between, say, atmospheric temperatures and model projections. Schmidt plots graphs by having the lines representing different datasets intersect in the middle of the timeline of data. Thus, he masks the extent of the divergence of two different datasets. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2024/TWTW%20Jan%2027.pdf
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Different, Not Acceleration: A favorite trick of NOAA and others who advocate dangerous sea level rise is to splice together datasets from different sets of instruments to give the impression that sea level rise is accelerating. [If sea level rise were accelerating, the acceleration would show up in tide-gauge data at all stations, but it does not, regardless of whether the land is sinking, rising, or remaining static, but tide-gages are ignore.] If the datasets don’t have any management or calibration interval, one can’t know in the event that they measure the identical factor the identical method. Willis Eschenbach exposes this trick in NOAA’s earlier “Satellite tv for pc Primarily based Sea Stage From 4 Satellites.” He additionally explains that synthetic intelligence techniques akin to “Climinator” attacked the NIPCC studies by utilizing false data. See hyperlinks beneath Under the Backside Line.
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Atmospheric Temperature Pattern: For causes that aren’t clear, calculated atmospheric temperatures went up significantly within the latter a part of 2023, and in January 2024. Roy Spencer studies: “The linear warming pattern since January 1979 now stands at +0.15 C/decade.” (0.27F per decade). For his report and the total report see hyperlinks beneath Measurement Points – Environment.
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Mann Litigation: TWTW is linking to the Mann v. Steyn litigation with out remark till the choice is made. Nevertheless, Larry Bell has an distinctive touch upon its significance. He states:
“Following many trillions of {dollars} spent on ‘web carbon impartial’ fantasies ‘inexperienced vitality’ and ‘clear electrical autos,’ about two dozen years too late we’re lastly witnessing severe court docket challenges to the kind of ‘science’ that spawned these pricey and economically harmful local weather alarm-premised boondoggles within the first place.”
See hyperlinks beneath Oh Mann!
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Political Methods: Power commentator Mark Mills is a contributing editor of the Metropolis Journal. In discussing Washington’s push for electrical autos, he writes:
“This domestic-sourcing function is what it took, reportedly, to get West Virginia senator Joe Machin on board to move the all-partisan Inflation Discount Act, as a result of, as he certainly knew, practically all battery supplies are presently foreign-made and can stay so for ages. Nevertheless, the ultimate laws had a surreptitious exception permitting the credit score for leased autos constructed with international supplies. Evidently, the pen is mightier than the miner.”
“This debate issues as a result of lots of of billions of {dollars} in public spending might be deployed by way of the misnamed Inflation Discount Act to push EVs into markets—and since a proposed rule from the EPA, with comparable laws in additional than a dozen states, will make it unimaginable to purchase a brand new automotive until it’s an EV inside the decade. The unprecedented magnitude of presidency intervention provides EV fans confidence that it’ll all “’spur client demand.’”
“However for EVs to turn into ubiquitous, we’ll want quantum-leap improvements, and historical past reveals that mandates, taxes, and subsidies aren’t how we get that form of progress. All they do, as a substitute, is lock in yesterday’s applied sciences and waste cash.”
As well as, Laura Beck writes in Yahoo Finance:
“A sobering new reliability report from Shopper Stories signifies electrical autos nonetheless have an extended highway forward relating to reliable efficiency. The survey of over 300,000 autos discovered electrical fashions undergo 79% extra upkeep issues than gas-powered vehicles. In the meantime, plug-in hybrids fared even worse — with a regarding 146% extra points reported by drivers.”
As linked in final week’s TWTW, Hertz is dumping about 20,000 Teslas as a result of it can’t hire them, and so they value significantly extra to restore than standard autos. It seems that electrical autos are a political fad, not a well-liked one. See hyperlinks beneath Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos.
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Variety of the Week: 10 Instances — the quantity in different animals: Primarily based on current proof, Homo sapiens could have developed within the tropics of Africa; not within the rainforests, however within the savanna, the new grasslands outdoors the rainforests. People have particular traits giving them a distinct segment for endurance searching. They run upright, not in a bounding trend, thus breathe extra readily. And people have a singular cooling system. They’ve about 10 instances the density of sweat glands embedded of their pores and skin in comparison with chimpanzees, thought of the closest residing kin to people. Additional, not like horses and different mammals, human sweat is generally water with salt and different hint minerals. The sweat of horses and most land mammals incorporates lipids.
Most land animals cool by panting. So long as they’ve water, people don’t. This explains why natives of the Southwest had been capable of run down the quickest land animal within the Americas, the Pronghorn (known as antelope), one other flat runner however with out the highly effective cooling system of people. They’d collapse from warmth exhaustion.
Thus, opposite to what local weather alarmists declare, so long as people have water, they’ll survive a warming world. See https://www.pennmedicine.org/information/news-releases/2021/april/the-chillest-ape-how-humans-evolved-a-super-high-cooling-capacity#:~:textual content=PHILADELPHIApercentE2percent80percent94percent20Humanspercent20havepercent20apercent20uniquely,densitypercent20ofpercent20chimpanzeespercent20andpercent20macaques.
Science: Is the Solar Rising?
Photo voltaic Replace January 2024
By David Archibald, WUWT, Jan 29, 2024
Commentary: Is the Solar Rising?
A Curious Correlation -Sunspots vs. Main Hurricane Frequency
By Kirby Schlaht, WUWT, Jan 31, 2024
“If the Svensmark cloud speculation is right, elevated photo voltaic exercise deflects extra Cosmic Rays (CR) away from the interior photo voltaic system producing much less ionization within the troposphere, producing fewer clouds with extra photo voltaic radiation reaching the oceans.”
What the subsequent photo voltaic most means for you
By Employees Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Jan 29, 2024
https://www.spacedaily.com/studies/What_the_next_solar_maximum_means_for_you_999.html
“Very similar to the Earth, our Solar is a dynamic physique with a fancy – and generally violent – climate system. Photo voltaic storms eject extremely energetic radiation that may impression our planet, forming sturdy auroras and disrupting energy grids, electronics, and satellites.”
[SEPP Comment: According to the National Climate Assessment endorsed by NOAA, the Sun has little impact on climate!]
Rising Temperatures, Sunshine Hours & The Clear Air Acts
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 27, 2024
“Based on the Met Workplace, UK imply temperatures have been on the rise since about 1980. However throughout the very same interval sunshine hours have additionally been steadily rising:”
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch
The Position of Greenhouse Gases in Power Switch within the Earth’s Environment
By W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, Mar 3, 2023
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Easy Explanations Don’t Apply In The Complicated Local weather System
By Frank Bosse, Through P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Jan 28, 2024
Immediately’s ‘Local weather Disaster’ Is a Fairy Story
By Daniel W. Nebert, American Thinker, Jan 27, 2024
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/01/todays_climate_crisis_is_a_fairy_tale.html
Reproduced with subsequent corrections by writer within the This Week part above.
Juice: Energy, Politics & The Grid Is Out!
Our five-part docuseries on the fragilization of the electrical grid is on YouTube. It’s free. And it’s terrific.
By Robert Bryce, His Weblog, Jan 31, 2024
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/juice-power-politics-and-the-grid
Juice, Energy, Politics, and the Grid, Half 2
By Steven Hayward, PowerLine, Feb 1, 2024
Internet Zero threatens nationwide safety
Press Launch, Internet Zero Watch, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/prins-return-coal
Hyperlink to article: The Internet Zero music stops
Nationwide safety considerations should take priority over the local weather
By Gwythian Prins, Internet Zero Watch, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/cancel-net-zero-return-coal
Hyperlink to review: Archimedes’ Fulcrum
By Gwythian Prins, Internet Zero Watch, 2023
Working backward to test my work
By Joe Bastardi, CFACT, Jan 20, 2024
https://www.cfact.org/2024/01/20/working-backward-to-check-my-work/
“If we’ve got extra incoming photo voltaic radiation reaching the planet’s tropical waters, that is going to be a trigger for warming. However meaning there must be a scarcity of clouds over the tropical oceans. Over the past 10-15 years, Outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) has elevated and is reverse what it was within the Fifties. There’s a believable rationalization.”
Gavin’s Plotting Trick: Conceal the Incline
By Roy Spencer, WUWT, Feb 1, 2024
Spencer vs. Schmidt: Spencer Responds to RealClimate.org Criticisms
By Roy Spencer, WUWT, Jan 31, 2024
Interview With Dr Neil Frank, former Director, Nationwide Hurricane Middle
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 31, 2024
“I’ve usually quoted Dr Neil Frank. This can be a nice interview”
WINNING – Trillions Spent on ‘Local weather Change’ Primarily based on Defective Temperature Information
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 29, 2024
How A lot Ocean Heating is Due To Deep-Sea Hydrothermal Vents?
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Jan 29, 2024
[SEPP Comment: Spencer shows that globally, the warming from submerged hydrothermal vents may be very small. However, they may explain isolated warming patches such as “blobs” in the Pacific that were unexplained initially.]
Defending the Orthodoxy
How YouTube’s local weather deniers was local weather doomers
A brand new report paperwork a pointy rise in arguments that clear vitality and local weather insurance policies received’t work.
By Kate Yoder, Grist, Yale Local weather Connections, Jan 31, 2024
Hyperlink to obvious report: The New Local weather Denial
How social media platforms and content material producers revenue by spreading new types of local weather denial
By Employees, The Middle for Countering Digital Hate, 2024
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Renewable Energy Set to Surpass Coal Globally by 2025
Renewable vitality will surpass coal energy by 2025 and, with nuclear vitality, will account for practically half the world’s energy era by 2026, the Worldwide Power Company forecasts
By Jason Plautz & E&E Information, Science American, Jan 25, 2024
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/renewable-power-set-to-surpass-coal-globally-by-2025/
Hyperlink to: Electrical energy 2024: Evaluation and forecast to 2026
By Employees, EIA, January 2024
https://www.iea.org/studies/electricity-2024
[SEPP Comment: IEA is predicting that CO2 emissions from China will decline from 2023?]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
These weren’t the times
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“A cautious have a look at historical past tells us that the worldwide common floor temperature just isn’t a management knob that we will set to a most popular worth to ‘forestall struggling.’”
“We’d go additional and say it’s not one we will set to a most popular worth in any respect. However actually if somebody claims in any other case, and even expresses a want that we may, they need to be requested to elucidate the place they’d set it and why. And if they’ll’t, or received’t, low cost any additional climate-related remarks they may make as willfully ignorant babble.”
[SEPP Comment: Contrary to the UN IPCC and its followers, the period from 1850 to 1900 was far from ideal.]
Tidbits
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“And we should say once more that if the local weather is so fragile that its future hinges on whether or not individuals put sails on massive ocean-going ships, we’re completed for anyway.”
#ECS in the actual world: Shaviv et al. 2022
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“Certainly, on the 540 million 12 months time scale many issues trigger short-term adjustments, as geologists use the phrase ‘short-term’
ECS doesn’t correlate with volcanic results, and why it issues
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“The IPCC claimed ECS is probably going between 2.5° C and 4.0° C, an estimate which was (within the phrases of Pauling et al.) ‘largely achieved by consideration of emergent constraints’. Huh? Nicely, the concept is that as a substitute of measuring ECS instantly, you measure one thing else in mannequin outputs which may don’t have anything to do with temperature however which seem to correlate with CO2 ‘forcing’, the quantity of warming CO2 is inflicting, like (for instance) distinction in precipitation between two areas.”
How Sulphur Laws Have Helped To Heat The Planet
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 28, 2024
“This discount in air pollution has undoubtedly had an upward impact on ocean temperature. The query is how a lot.”
After Paris!
Delusions of Davos and Dubai
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Jan 31, 2024
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
New Examine: 2001-2020 ‘International Greening Is An Indeniable Truth’ And It’s Pushed By CO2 Fertilization
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Jan 29, 2024
Hyperlink to paper: The worldwide greening continues regardless of elevated drought stress since 2000
By Xin Chen, et al., International Ecology and Conservation, January 2024
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989423004262
From the article: “Utilizing Superior Very Excessive-Decision Radiometer (AVHRR) information sources of questionable high quality, some current research have instructed the greening pattern has slowed or has even been reversed to browning because the twenty first century started. As instructed, these information sources ‘ought to be utilized in warning’ (Chen et al., 2024) as it’s ‘well-known that AVHRR-based NDVI and LAI have a number of sources of uncertainty,’ akin to ‘apparent synthetic alerts from the orbital drift.’
Utilizing far more dependable MODIS information, scientists (Chen et al., 2024) can now say the LAI pattern within the twenty first century is robustly constructive, and that 2001-2020 ‘international greening is an proven fact.’”
FOURNIER: Sorry Biden, CO2 Is Not Air pollution. It’s The Foreign money Of Life
By Joseph Fournier, Every day Caller, Jan 15, 2024
https://dailycaller.com/2024/01/15/fournier-carbon-dioxide-pollution-greening/
“The examples that I’ll showcase that reveal that Arrhenius’ predictions are coming true are 1) the increasing Plant Kingdom, 2) the acceleration of agricultural productiveness, and three) the local weather stabilizing results of rising CO2.”
Burn oil, save forests: International greening is accelerating in 55% of the world because of fossil fuels
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 2, 2024
Fashions v. Observations
Two model-observation comparisons verify: CMIP6 fashions run too scorching
By Frank Bosse and Nic Lewis, Local weather And many others. Feb 2, 2024
“A current article by Roy Spencer was (strongly) criticized by Gavin Schmidt [NASA-GISSS] over at ‘Actual Local weather’.”
U.S.A. Temperature Traits, 1979-2023: Fashions vs. Observations
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Feb 2, 2024
“On condition that ‘international warming’ is a better concern in the summertime, these outcomes additional reveal that the local weather fashions depended upon for public coverage shouldn’t be believed with regards to their international warming projections.”
Mannequin Points
Modelling climatic impacts of low clouds over tropical waters
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
From the CO2Science Archive:
Measurement Points — Floor
The Local weather Information Corruption Enterprise
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 1, 2024
Textual content: https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/the-climate-data-corruption-business/#gsc.tab=0
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/the-climate-data-corruption-business-2/#gsc.tab=0
Additional Investigations on Errors in Climate Station Information Evaluations
By Moritz Busing, WUWT, Feb 1, 2024
“The error was that warming of the climate station housings as a consequence of ageing of the paint by 0.1°C to 0.2°C (0.18°F to 0.36°F) was compounded a number of instances by the so-called homogenization algorithms utilized by NOAA and different organizations. This occurs, as a result of the homogenization algorithm assumes a everlasting change in temperature when the station housing is repainted, changed, and even cleaned. However these adjustments are short-term, as a result of the brand new paint begins ageing and accumulating filth once more.”
Lengthy Time period Local weather Sensitivity After All Suggestions Has Acted
By Bob Irvine, WUWT, Jan 29, 2024
“This essay will try to seek out an estimate for Equilibrium Local weather Sensitivity (ECS) based mostly on two strategies of estimating the International Imply Floor Temperature (GMST) in any case NCGHGs have been artificially eliminated. Each these estimates embody an unknown determine for System Acquire Issue (SGF).”
[SEPP Comment: History shows that Earth never had an equilibrium climate.]
City Warmth Island Research – Do Pristine Climate Stations Even Exist? Half Two. ‘HIDE THE INCLINE’ [Australia]
By Geoff Sherrington, WUWT, Feb 2, 2024
Measurement Points — Environment
UAH International Temperature Replace for January 2024: +0.86 deg. C
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Feb 2, 2024
International Temperature Report: January 2024
By Employees, Earth System Science Middle, the College of Alabama in Huntsville, Feb 4, 2024
Map: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2024/JANUARY/202401_Map.png
Graph: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2024/JANUARY/202401_Bar.png
Textual content: https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/local weather/2024/JANUARY/GTR_202401JAN_v1.pdf
Altering Climate
EU Wildfire Traits
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Feb 2, 2024
Germany’s “Spring In Winter” Lasted Weeks, Reached 15°C In January 1974!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Jan 31, 2024
The Interior Secrets and techniques of An Spectacular Pacific Storm
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Jan 31, 2024
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2024/01/the-inner-secrets-of-impressive-pacific.html
All of the drought that’s match to drink
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“Nicely, clear to a few of us. Who additionally know that a lot of locations, together with Alberta, have traditionally and prehistorically been extraordinarily vulnerable to groundwater-depleting droughts far worse than the present one.”
One other Useless Canary
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 2, 2024
https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/another-dead-canary/#gsc.tab=0
“Alaska was once the canary within the international boiling coal mine, however now they’re having file chilly and snow.”
January 1952 & 1953: When Climate Actually Was Excessive
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 30, 2024
January 1954 – heavy rain, floods, extreme gales, gentle climate, very chilly climate and thick snow
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 29, 2024
Altering Local weather – Cultures & Civilizations
Did Local weather Change Trigger the Fall of the Roman Empire?
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Jan 29, 2024
“Paul Erdkamp, of Vrije Universiteit Brussel, has a pre-print up that begins with this ‘In 1984, the German historical historian Alexander Demandt listed over 200 causes of the decline of the Roman world that had been proposed in earlier scholarship. The listing provides a transparent illustration of the truth that our views of the previous are very a lot decided by modern considerations.’”
Altering Seas
Noticed vs. Imagined Sea Ranges 2023 Replace
By Ron Clutz, His Weblog, Feb 1, 2024
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Greenland Temperature Replace – 2023
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 28, 2024
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
World Cereal Manufacturing Set To Hit File Excessive In 2023
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Feb 2, 2024
[SEPP Comment: The consequences of “the hottest year in 125,000 years”?]
Reducing Requirements
EA Can’t Even Get Easy Information Proper
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 31, 2024
“Yearly the Atmosphere Company fill their flood studies with local weather change hype, like this one:”
Bude To Drown In 2050!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Feb 1, 2024
“Extra foolish scaremongering from the BBC:”
Extra On The Supposed File Temperature At Kinlochewe
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 31, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
And so they marvel why nobody trusts them
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“In the event you imagine China is manufacturing automotive batteries in a clear method, you most likely shouldn’t be a journalist.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Insurance coverage Business’s Pretend Claims Of Growing Storm Injury Are Not Supported By Information
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 31, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
They Firebombed My Workplace
By John Hinderaker, PowerLine, Feb 1, 2024
“I’m working with the FBI to attempt to determine the perpetrators. As I advised them, the listing of potential suspects is lengthy, as my group is lively, and unusually efficient, throughout a broad vary of points. I’ll have extra to say about this earlier than lengthy.”
Price of Residing Farmers Protests Paralyze Europe
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 30, 2024
Questioning European Inexperienced
Chilly, hungry, caught at residence: Internet Zero’s drastic life-style adjustments
By David Turver, Internet Zero Watch, Jan 30, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/storage-spats-mask-drastic-net-zero-lifestyle-changes
How the Welsh authorities offered out the Welsh countryside
By Clive Goodridge, Internet Zero Watch, Feb 2, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/how-the-welsh-government-sold-out-the-welsh-countryside
“fairytale” eager about web zero.”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 2, 2024
https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/fairytale-thinking-about-net-zero/#gsc.tab=0
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Inexperienced Electrical Shocks in 2024
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Feb 1, 2024
Funding Points
Michael Bloomberg’s $1 Billion Assault on The Electrical Grid
By Robert Bryce, Cornwall Alliance, Jan 23, 2024
Malawi COP29 Frustration: Wealthy Nation Parliaments Must Debate OUR Local weather Money NOW
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 31, 2024
[SEPP Comment: Why doesn’t Bloomberg fund electricity generation in poor countries rather than fund the destruction of reliable electricity in the US as described above?]
The Political Video games Proceed
This 12 months, Congress Should Resolve to Reform the Antiquities Act
By Gabriella Hoffman, Actual Clear Power, Jan 29, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/29/this_year_congress_must_resolve_to_reform_the_antiquities_act_1008261.html
Vote on Capito Modification Unmasks PROVE IT as Carbon Tax Enabler
By Marlo Lewis, Jr., CEI, Jan 25, 2024
https://cei.org/weblog/vote-on-capito-amendment-unmasks-prove-it-as-carbon-tax-enabler/
Litigation Points
Time to Get Rid of the Chevron Ruling
By John Horvat II, American Thinker, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/01/time_to_get_rid_of_the_chevron_ruling.html
[SEPP Comment: By rewriting regulations, such as those greatly extending subsidies to wind and solar under the Inflation Reduction Act, Washington “experts” demonstrated they do not deserve deference as “experts.”]
You Can’t Defend ‘Democracy’ and the Administrative State
By David Harsanyi, The Every day Sign, Jan 26, 0224
[SEPP Comment: The USA is a Republic, different from a democracy.
DAVID BLACKMON: ExxonMobil Just Set The Climate Alarm Lobby On Fire Again
By David Blackmn, Daily Caller, Jan 31, 2024
https://dailycaller.com/2024/01/31/opinion-exxonmobil-sets-the-climate-alarm-lobby-afire-again-david-blackmon/
Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes
Gov’t Knows Best Carbon Taxes Will Crush Low-Wage Earners
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/carbon-wind-solar/2024/01/31/id/1151696/
Subsidies and Mandates Forever
Biden Admin Classifies Martha’s Vineyard, Elite Locales As ‘Low-Income’ To Push EV Charger Subsidies
By Nick Pope, Daily Caller, Jan 31, 2024
https://dailycaller.com/2024/01/31/biden-admin-elite-enclaves-low-income-charger-subsidies/?pnespid=7rNqESNOM78AxP3Dt2WpSo3Vok6rDoJlI7Owy7toskRmaaCeOKcrwIrZIbAqBG3LJVKJP4F1Jg
“Large pockets of Cape Cod, another pricey locale, are also eligible for ‘low income’ EV subsidies. This includes Hyannis, the longtime home base of the Kennedy political dynasty, and Great Island, which features numerous multi-million-dollar properties.”
[SEPP Comment: Integrity in Washington.]
FEMA to compensate faculties, hospitals for including photo voltaic panels after disasters
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Jan 30, 2024
“Below the brand new coverage, FEMA’s Public Help grant program will provide funding for net-zero vitality installations together with photo voltaic panels and warmth pumps for public services broken by excessive climate and different disasters.”
UK To Subsidise China Automobile Producers
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Feb 1, 2024
“Any producer that doesn’t have sufficient allowances, a method or one other, should pay a fantastic of £15000. Producers with extra allowances will subsequently have the ability to promote these at near £15000, as demand will virtually actually exceed provide. (This assumes that whole EV gross sales are lower than goal, which appears extremely possible).”
“Chinese language owned MG and Polestar, for example, offered 34,000 EVs on this nation final 12 months. So their allowances could be price £510 million. Tesla’s gross sales of the Y and three fashions totalled 49,000, price £735 million.”
EPA and different Regulators on the March
EPA proposes to allow states to require ‘ceaselessly chemical’ cleanup, giving substances ‘hazardous’ label
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 2, 2024
“The Environmental Safety Company (EPA) has proposed to designate 9 poisonous ‘ceaselessly chemical compounds’ as ‘hazardous constituents’ beneath the nation’s regulation for cleansing up ongoing air pollution, in a transfer that might allow states to require cleanups if the substances are launched.”
[SEPP Comment: Shouldn’t the EPA demonstrate why chemicals that are inert in nature and in the human body are toxic to humans?]
The SEC Oversteps its Powers on Local weather Change
By H. Sterling Burnett, American Thinker, Feb 2, 2024
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/02/the_sec_oversteps_its_powers_on_climate_change.html
Power Points – Non-US
The Folly Of Local weather Management
By Tilak Doshi, Forbes, Feb 1, 2024
Extra Revelations Emerge of How the Local weather Change Committee Dupes Parliament into Voting for Internet Zero Measures
By Chris Morrison, The Every day Sceptic, Jan 27, 2024 [H/t Paul Homewood]
In the meantime in the actual world
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
“One of many tough nuances of the previous couple of years is that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sparked a European scramble each to seek out non-Russian fuel and to get off fuel.”
“Off it onto what? Unicorns? Uh no, that’d be coal, together with in Germany.”
FES Eventualities Received’t Meet Power Storage Wants
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 28, 2024
“Let’s take a look on the newest Nationwide Grid’s Future Power Eventualities, and see how they cater for the 100 TWh of vitality storage beneficial by the Royal Society.”
[SEPP Comment: Underestimating the underestimates to keep it “affordable”?]
Power Points – Australia
Grid on the Edge: Queensland Govt switched off hundreds of residence air conditioners six instances within the final 8 weeks
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 1, 2024
“Welcome to trendy Australia the place the grid is so fragile, poor individuals have to purchase air conditioners that the federal government can remotely change off . Such is the state of decay that Queensland now not has sufficient electrical energy to permit the riff-raff to have air con each time they need it — solely the wealthy can try this.”
“It’s a option to handle the grid — consider it as 170,000 mini blackouts as a substitute of 1 massive one:”
[SEPP Comment: Once electricity was smart, you could turn it on whenever you wanted. Now, smart electricity means the government can turn it off whenever it wants.
Energy Issues — US
The Electric Grid Explained In 10 Charts
The U.S. electric grid delivers $500 billion worth of juice every year. But what is it?
By Robert Bryce, His Blog, Jan 17, 2024
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/the-electric-grid-explained-in-10
Link to report: National Transmission Needs Study: Draft for Public Comment, February 2023
From article: Last February, the Department of Energy published a report — the “National Transmission Needs Study” — which claimed the U.S. needs to build 47,300 gigawatt-miles of new power lines by 2035. It did not bother to explain what a gigawatt-mile is, nor did it say how many miles of transmission are being built annually. (As I explained last May in “47,300 Gigawatt-Miles From Nowhere,” the answer is very few.)
New York Cap and Invest – The Role of Cap-and-Invest
By Rober Caiazza, WUWT, Jan 27, 2024
“In brief, that plan is to electrify everything possible using zero-emissions electricity.”
[SEPP Comment: Government gone amuck. Are the plans feasible is not a question that is addressed.]
The Key to Power IQ
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Jan 29, 2024
[SEPP Comment: Video with text on power density.]
Pink States: Run FAR Away From Renewable Portfolio Requirements!
By Rick Whitbeck, Actual Clear Power, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/31/red_states_run_far_away_from_renewable_portfolio_standards_1008752.html
“Immediately, nonetheless, producers in Cook dinner Inlet – who’re accountable for most of Southcentral Alaska’s provides of dependable vitality – have sounded alarms about working out of economic-to-extract fuel provides. Utilities are importing pure fuel as a short-term repair, which may double ratepayers’ payments till different agency (always-on) sources are dropped at market.”
Alaska ‘Inexperienced New Deal’ Lurks (RPS hazard)
By Kassie Andrews, Grasp Useful resource, Jan 31, 2024
Washington’s Management of Power
Three Causes Why the Moratorium on LNG Initiatives Is Joe Biden’s Newest Power Misstep
By Ted Garrish, Actual Clear Power, Jan 30, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/30/three_reasons_why_the_moratorium_on_lng_projects_is_biden_latest_energy_misstep_1008531.html
Joe Biden’s conflict on fossil fuels is hurting America
California shouldn’t be the President’s vitality mannequin
By Joel Kotkin, UnHerd, Feb 1, 2024
https://unherd.com/thepost/joe-bidens-war-on-fossil-fuels-is-hurting-america/
Hyperlink to: California retains its title as having the nation’s highest poverty price
By Dan Walters, Cal Issues, Sep 13, 2023
https://calmatters.org/commentary/2023/09/california-poverty-rate/
Hyperlink to information: Poverty in america: 2022
By Emily Shrider and John Creamer, United States Census Bureau, Sep 12, 2023
https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-280.html
From article: “California’s final two giant oil producers, ExxonMobil and Chevron, this week introduced a mixed $5 billion in write-offs of their belongings within the state.”
“This predicament can’t be blamed on California working out of oil and fuel; some estimates of the state’s oil and fuel reserves are significantly bigger than these of Texas.”
[SEPP Comment: The discussed poverty rate includes the official rate, which for California is about the same as for the country plus the “supplemental” rate which puts California at the top. The supplemental rate includes cost of housing, utilities, fuel, and other consumer needs.]
Extra Power Folly From 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
By Erik Milito, Actual Clear Power, Jan 30, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/30/more_energy_folly_from_1600_pennsylvania_avenue_1008528.html
Take 5 – Gauging The Affect Of The DOE’s Pause In LNG Export Licenses
By David Braziel, RBN Power, Jan 31, 2024
https://rbnenergy.com/take-five-gauging-the-impact-of-the-does-pause-in-lng-export-licenses
“Maybe essentially the most irritating facet of the pause is its counterproductive impression on the strategic goals surrounding local weather change. It will be cheap to presume that, if LNG provide is artificially restricted, rising international vitality wants could also be met with cheaper, extra carbon-intensive fuels — particularly coal. It’s been well-documented that U.S. GHG emissions have declined during the last decade largely on account of coal-to-gas switching within the energy era sector. However decarbonization targets are international in scope.”
[SEPP Comment: The question is: does the DOE act in the public interest or the interests of Washington?]
Biden Pauses Pure Fuel Export Approvals
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 27, 2024
There Ain’t Nothing Like a “DAME”
By Duggan Flanakin, CFACT, Jan 30, 2024
https://www.cfact.org/2024/01/30/there-aint-nothing-like-a-dame/
“The Biden Administration’s proposed fiscal 2024 finances included a brand new proposal for the Digital Asset Mining Power (DAME) excise tax with a aim of taking 30 p.c of the price of electrical energy utilized in cryptocurrency mining for the federal treasury.”
US to require cryptocurrency mines to report vitality use information
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 2, 2024
“The survey was approved by the White Home Workplace of Administration and Price range as an ‘emergency assortment of knowledge request.’
[SEPP Comment: Another emergency myth? See link immediately above.]
Biden publishes watered-down fuel range effectivity rule
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Jan 29, 204
Return of King Coal?
With Coal, We Should Contemplate Power Reliability
By Emily Arthun, Actual Clear Power, Feb 01, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/01/with_coal_consider_energy_reliability_1009080.html
Nuclear Power and Fears
The place Are The SMRs?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Jan 31, 2024
Hyperlink to article: Six SMR energy crops accredited in Poland
By Employees, World Nuclear Information, Dec 8, 2023
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Six-SMR-power-plants-approved-in-Poland
“Poland’s Ministry of Local weather and Atmosphere has issued decisions-in-principle for the development of energy crops based mostly on GE Hitachi Nuclear Power’s BWRX-300 small modular reactor (SMR) at six places. A complete of 24 BWRX-300 reactors are deliberate on the websites.”
From Homewood: “So why are we so intent of accelerating down the lifeless finish of pricey, out of date and unreliable wind energy?”
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Let’s Apply Rationale for LNG Pause to Offshore Wind
By David T. Stevenson, Actual Clear Power, Jan 29, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/29/lets_apply_rationale_for_lng_pause_to_offshore_wind_1008164.html
Offshore wind has a giant up and down week
By David Wojick, CFACT, Feb 1, 2024
https://www.cfact.org/2024/02/01/offshore-wind-has-a-big-up-and-down-week/
Key Participant In Biden’s Offshore Wind Push Withdraws From Deal With Blue State, Blames Inflation
By Nick Pope, Every day Caller, Jan 26, 2024
https://dailycaller.com/2024/01/26/orsted-biden-wind-push-climate/
Offshore Wind and the Stress on Industrial Fishermen
By Craig Rucker, WUWT, Jan 28, 2024
Woodmac: three predictions for the worldwide photo voltaic {industry} in 2024
By Simon Yuen, PV Tech, Jan 23, 2024
The Rooftop Photo voltaic Business May Be On the Verge of Collapse
By Alana Semuels, Time, Through Yahoo Information, Jan 25, 2024 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://information.yahoo.com/rooftop-solar-industry-could-verge-145455396.html
“The concept we have to persuade tens of hundreds of People who can’t afford it to place photo voltaic on their rooftops shifts the duty for addressing the local weather disaster from the entities who may actually make a distinction—massive firms and governments, for instance—and onto people who’re good targets for financing firms.”
[SEPP Comment: Contrary to what the reporter writes, solar panels will not stop climate change which has been occurring for millions of years.]
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
Congress’ Priorities Should Embrace Advancing America’s Clear Power Future
By Neil Caskey, Actual Clear Power, Jan 29, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/01/29/congress_priorities_must_include_advancing_americas_clean_energy_future_1008161.html
“The winter months are properly underway, bringing cooler climate and the thrill of a brand new 12 months. This time serves as a reminder of the targets we’ve set in 2023, and the hassle we’ve given to see them by means of.” [Boldface added]
[SEPP Comment: Who is we? The promoters of corn ethanol?]
Wooden Pellets Aren’t CO2 Impartial, Emit Extra Than Coal… Double Of Pure Fuel
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Feb 2, 2024
Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
Tapping the Brakes on Electrical Autos
Tesla will repair its cold-weather woes, however an all-EV future continues to be lifeless on arrival.
By Mark Mills, Metropolis Journal, Jan 29, 2024 [H/t Eduard Harinck]
https://www.city-journal.org/article/tapping-the-brakes-on-electric-vehicles
Cars, human nature, and the problem of constructing vehicles that folks really need
By Terry Etam, BOE Report, Jan 24, 2024
New Report Exhibits Electrical Autos Are Unreliable — These 3 Are the Worst
By Laura Beck, Yahoo Finance, Jan 27, 2024 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://finance.yahoo.com/information/report-shows-electric-vehicles-unreliable-160029308.html
So Many Issues Proceed to Plague the EV Business
By Kirsten Walker, WUWT, Jan 30, 2024
Volvo To Cease Funding Polestar
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Feb 1, 2024
“Volvo presently owns 48% of Polestar. The remaining is owned by Geely, who themselves personal Volvo!
This transfer means that Volvo merely don’t have the sources to maintain pouring cash into Polestar.”
Carbon Schemes
EU Fee needs captured CO2 to turn into ‘tradeable commodity’
By Frédéric Simon, EURACTIV, Feb 1, 2024
California Dreaming
Newsom pledges to revive salmon by eradicating dams in new strategic plan
By Sharon Udasin, The Hill, Jan 30, 2024
“The Klamath Hydroelectric Venture (FERC No. 2082) is positioned in a predominantly rural space in southern Oregon. The mission generates roughly 716 gigawatt-hours of emissions-free electrical energy on an annual foundation – sufficient energy to produce the vitality wants of roughly 70,000 households.”
“Constructed between 1903 and 1967, PacifiCorp’s Klamath Hydroelectric Venture consists of seven hydroelectric developments and one non-generating dam.”
https://www.pacificorp.com/vitality/hydro/klamath-river.html#:~:textual content=2082)%20ispercent20locatedpercent20inpercent20a,needspercent20ofpercent20approximatelypercent2070percent2C000percent20households.
Roads flood, snow piles up as first of two atmospheric rivers pummels California
By Tara Suter, The Hill, Feb 2, 2024
Wildfires Pose A $761 Billion Risk To California
By Sam Stebbins. Local weather Disaster, 247, Jan 24, 2024
“Dry, windy circumstances can enhance the chance of a catastrophic wildfire, and in California, such circumstances will not be unusual. For a lot of the final 34 years of knowledge from the U.S. Drought Monitor, over 75% of the state’s land space has been in a drought. The Santa Ana winds that transfer west from the Nice Basin additionally dry out vegetation in elements of the state and may heighten wildfire threat by blowing embers.”
[SEPP Comment: Good reasons for management of grasslands and forests. After the flood comes the drought.]
Well being, Power, and Local weather
The shameless cowl up of the lab leak idea
By Matt Ridley, His Weblog, Dec 20, 2023
“So in sum, a world pandemic started in 2019 very near a lab that was doing dangerous, gain-of-function analysis on the exact same form of virus as Covid. Since then, the scientific and public-health institution has tried to close down debate on the origins of the virus and has refused to speak concerning the threat of lab leaks. The silence speaks volumes.”
Additional Notes On Mann v. Steyn: The Plaintiff Rests
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Jan 31, 2024
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2024-1-31-further-notes-on-mann-v-steyn-the-plaintiff-rests
Alarmist, Junk Local weather Science Lastly Placed on Trial
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Feb 2, 2024
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/climate-change-lawsuit-michael-mann/2024/02/02/id/1152002/
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
ESA’s Modern Steel 3D Printer Arrives at ISS
By Erica Marchand, Paris, France (SPX) Feb 01, 2024
https://www.spacedaily.com/studies/ESAs_Innovative_Metal_3D_Printer_Arrives_at_ISS_999.html
Man-oh-Man: Manatees
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Jan 31, 2024
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Synthetic Alarmism
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 28, 2024
Extra About Synthetic Ignorance
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 29, 2024
All tipping factors on a regular basis
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 31, 2024
Coal: Don’t Burn It, Compute With It A sure fossil gasoline works properly as a 2D insulating movie for transistors
By Tammy Xu, IEEE Spectrum, Jan 24, 2024
https://spectrum.ieee.org/silicon-semiconductor-alternatives-coal
[SEPP Comment: The world consumes 8,561,852,178 tons (short tons, st) of coal per year as of the year 2016. Will all this be used in insulating transistors?]
https://www.worldometers.data/coal/#coal-consumption
ARTICLES
1. Various Power’s Period of Actuality Checks
Pretending that inefficient energy manufacturing is an unalloyed good solely results in disappointment.
By James Freeman, WSJ, Jan. 29, 2024
https://www.wsj.com/articles/alternative-energys-era-of-reality-checks-63866948?mod=opinion_feat5_bestoftheweb_pos1
TWTW Abstract: The journalist begins:
“Taxpayers and utility clients naturally anticipate to pay closely for wind and solar energy. In any case, if such tasks made financial sense, there could be no want for governments to subsidize and mandate them. However even past the prices of inefficient energy manufacturing, there’s a query of whether or not alternative-energy cheerleaders but have a deal with on the environmental impression of their tasks. It appears that there’s nonetheless no free lunch and that each methodology of manufacturing electrical energy carries prices and advantages.
For instance, a photo voltaic farm usually requires the elimination of enormous swathes of vegetation, which naturally carries an area consequence—and never only for the wildlife who used to dwell there. Stephen Peterson studies for the Solar Chronicle from Plainville, Mass.:
Quite a few properties on the town have for months been seeing their yards and basements flooded by rainwater flowing down a hill from land the place a photo voltaic farm is being constructed…
The flooding has been happening since final summer time after bushes had been cleared from the positioning to make method for the photo voltaic panels.
Mr. Peterson describes a current assembly of the city planning board at which residents described the brand new deluge in properties that beforehand had not had a historical past of flooding:”
The journalist provides a sequence of quotes and examples supporting his claims, then concludes with:
“California’s rooftop photo voltaic {industry} has benefited for years from authorities subsidies that offset home-owner and enterprise set up prices. The state mandates rooftop photo voltaic on new properties, and a state web metering program rebates householders for extra energy that they generate and remit to the grid.
The rebate for a few years was as much as two to 3 instances greater than the wholesale worth of electrical energy…
Enter vitality actuality. In December 2022, the state Public Utilities Fee voted to scale back compensation for extra solar energy despatched to the grid by about 75% for brand spanking new rooftop clients to match the worth of their exported electrical energy to the grid… the subsidy taper is inflicting withdrawal pains. Regardless of the Inflation Discount Act’s sweetened photo voltaic subsidies, California’s photo voltaic and storage {industry} claims that the state subsidy decline value 17,000 jobs final 12 months as set up purposes fell by 80%. Photo voltaic Insure not too long ago advised PV journal USA that 75% of photo voltaic installers are at ‘high-risk’ of failing. ‘Now we have seen a wave of current photo voltaic installer bankruptcies,’ stated Photo voltaic Insure CEO Ara Agopian.”
