The Week That Was: 2023-12-30 (December 30, 2023)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge
Quote of the Week: “Essentially the most savage controversies are these about issues as to which there isn’t any good proof both approach.” – Bertrand Russell, “An Define of Mental Garbage”
Variety of the Week:Zero for storage or backup
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP)
Scope: Bodily science advances in a number of methods. One main kind of advance is by enhancements in understanding nature, A second kind is dispelling false ideas with bodily proof. This TWTW will give attention to what could be the most important enhancements in understanding the position of greenhouse gases in influencing temperatures coated in TWTW in 2023. Advances in dispelling false ideas will are available in January.
As well as, TWTW will talk about a current paper by Ross McKitrick demonstrating what statistical specialists and econometricians have lengthy recognized – sure varieties of statistical methods can produce biased outcomes together with one now trendy within the local weather group.
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Greenhouse Gases within the Environment: The greenhouse gases have been termed by John Tyndall who used early devices to measure how completely different frequencies electromagnetic radiation (gentle) are affected by sure atmospheric gases in 1859. Since Newton confirmed that gentle break up into colours by a prism might be recombined to white gentle, many scientists have explored spectroscopy. Nonetheless, Tyndall recognized that sure gases, notably water vapor, intervene with the transmission of infrared radiation from the floor to house sufficiently to maintain the land lots of Earth from getting into a deep freeze at night time, killing younger life. This answered the query: “Given its distance from the solar, why is Earth heat sufficient to help numerous, advanced life?”
A long time of laboratory experiments ensued and many years of hypothesis about what was occurring within the ambiance. Maybe essentially the most influential hypothesis prevalent as we speak is the hypothesis that the small quantity of warming attributable to growing a minor greenhouse gasoline, carbon dioxide (CO2), will trigger a big enhance within the main greenhouse gasoline, water vapor (H2O), resulting in a big warming. This hypothesis was embodied within the influential 1979 Charney Report, which was influenced by trendy numerical climate modeling. Sure theorists speculated that the methods of numerical climate modeling could be expanded into local weather modeling. Later, Chaos Concept confirmed that long-term climate forecasting is unreliable, even solely two weeks out, and forecasting have to be up to date ceaselessly. This can be a requirement that many local weather modelers largely ignore in making forecasts lasting many years to centuries.
After World Struggle II, the US Air Pressure was curious about discovering how greenhouse gases within the ambiance affect infrared radiation and financed the event of databases combining each laboratory experiments and observations from devices on climate balloons measuring temperature, barometric strain, and humidity (which can be utilized to calculate water vapor). Essentially the most detailed of those databases is the high-resolution transmission molecular absorption database (HITRAN). “HITRAN is a compilation of spectroscopic parameters that quite a lot of pc codes use to foretell and simulate the transmission and emission of sunshine within the ambiance.”
On March 3, AMO physicists William van Wijngaarden and William Happer posted their “Environment and Greenhouse Fuel Primer” since renamed to “The Position of Greenhouse Gases in Vitality Switch within the Earth’s Environment” utilizing the HITRAN database. Mentioned in a number of TWTWs beginning final April 1, this paper is probably going essentially the most important new work in local weather science mentioned by TWTW in 2023.
Among the many essential points mentioned on this paper and largely ignored by the local weather group are the position of water vapor in convection, the sharp discount in water vapor with altitude (within the idealized ambiance), and the significance of saturation and the extent to which water vapor interferes with the flexibility of different greenhouse gases to dam infrared radiation.
Water vapor, H2O, has a molar mass of 18 grams/mole (g/mol), whereas the dominant gasoline within the ambiance which is nitrogen, N2, has a molar mass of 28 g/mol and the second most dominant gasoline oxygen, O2, has a molar mass of 32 g/mol. Even argon which much less prevalent than water vapor has a molar mass of 40 g/mol. Water vapor is buoyant, resulting in convection within the ambiance which transfers warmth absorbed on the floor when water evaporates into water vapor (latent warmth) to the higher troposphere the place it condenses into clouds releasing wise warmth and finally falls as rain. Though radiation switch happens in any respect ranges within the ambiance, convection is an important mechanism within the troposphere. At increased altitude, water vapor freezes out. Of their paper van Wijngaarden and Happer have a simplified mannequin exhibiting this. The altitude at which water freezes out known as the tropopause which is about 60,000 toes (18km) above the equator, 20,000 toes (6 km) above the poles and averages about 36,000 toes (11 km).
Within the standardized ambiance, water vapor drops from about 7750 elements per million (ppm) at sea degree to about 4 ppm above the tropopause. [TWTW thinks 7750 ppm is far too low and it may be closer to 17700 ppm.] Thus, water vapor’s significance as a greenhouse gasoline declines with altitude. Carbon dioxide focus doesn’t decline within the ambiance. Nonetheless, it’s secondary to water vapor till above 36,000 toes (11 km), the place the ambiance is skinny, and the warming impact of blocking infrared radiation is enormously decreased. This discount in blocking additionally applies to minor greenhouse gases comparable to nitrous oxide (N2O) and methane (CH4). Solely ozone (O3), created by photo voltaic radiation, will increase with altitude, with biggest focus from 20 to 40 km (65,000 to 130,000 toes).
Of their calculations Van Wijngaarden and Happer reveal the idea of saturation over the a whole lot of hundreds of frequencies. If a frequency is already saturated, including extra greenhouse gasoline doesn’t affect the blocking in that frequency. Water vapor covers the broadest vary of frequencies, enormously lowering the effectiveness of carbon dioxide, and largely eliminating the effectiveness of methane and nitrous oxide. Thus, efforts to eradicate livestock as producers or methane, and synthetic fertilizers as a supply of nitrous oxide, are harmful and haven’t any worth in stopping greenhouse gasoline warming. Carbon dioxide has a restricted vary of frequencies by which it’s an efficient greenhouse gasoline. Including extra CO2 to as we speak’s ambiance has a minor affect on temperatures. Ozone, which is shaped by the solar excessive within the ambiance, has a negligible affect in warming the ambiance. See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch and TWTWs from April 1 to April 15https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent204-1-23.pdf
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UAH Temperature Tendencies Confirmed: The majority of the greenhouse impact happens within the decrease and mid-troposphere, the place water vapor dominates. Researchers Roy Spencer and John Christy have compiled atmospheric temperature developments of the decrease and mid-troposphere protecting the final 45 years, since December 1978. The calculations are based mostly on satellite tv for pc measurements of the altering brightness of Earth’s ambiance. Organizations comparable to NASA dismiss satellite tv for pc measurements as a result of the information has been compiled from greater than 16 completely different satellites, topic to orbital drift, declining altitude. This complicates the calculations required to transform the measurements into temperature readings. (Spencer and Christy took observe of those issues and have been correcting for the results because the Nineteen Eighties.) Nonetheless, if the observations are constant and the calculations have are verified, satellite tv for pc observations present essentially the most complete measurements of Earth’s temperature developments ever compiled. With altering instrumentation and altering instrument areas, with no calibration or standardization intervals from one dataset to a different, floor observations are neither constant nor complete.
On March 3, JGR Environment printed a paper from NOAA atmospheric scientists led by Cheng-Zhi Zou of the Heart for Satellite tv for pc Functions and Analysis “Mid-Tropospheric Layer Temperature Report Derived From Satellite tv for pc Microwave Sounder Observations With Backward Merging Method.” The summary states:
“We current a brand new model (v5.0) of the NOAA Heart for Satellite tv for pc Functions and Analysis (STAR) mid-tropospheric temperature (TMT) time collection. This knowledge set makes use of a backward-merging strategy to intercalibrate 16 satellite-based microwave sounding information. The instrument observations included these from the Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) throughout 1979–2004, Superior Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) throughout 1998–2017, and Superior Expertise Microwave Sounder (ATMS) from 2011 to current. A TMT time collection throughout 2002–current based mostly on satellite tv for pc microwave observations in secure sun-synchronous orbits was used as a reference within the backward merging course of by which earlier satellites have been adjusted and merged to the reference. Observations from earlier satellites have been recalibrated to take away their calibration drifting errors relative to the reference utilizing sequential overlapping observations. This included removing of spurious warming drifts within the MSU observations onboard NOAA-11, NOAA-12, and NOAA-14 and a spurious cooling drift within the NOAA-15 AMSU-A observations. Temperature modifications ensuing from diurnal sampling drifts have been corrected utilizing an observation-based semi-physical mannequin developed on this examine. Different changes included channel frequency variations between MSU and AMSU-A companion channels and instrument blackbody heat goal impact on noticed radiances. These changes resulted in inter-consistent TMT information spanning MSU, AMSU-A, and ATMS. The merged time collection produced a world imply TMT pattern of 0.092 ± 0.043 Okay/decade throughout 1979–2021 and a complete tropospheric pattern of 0.142 ± 0.045 Okay/decade after removing of a stratospheric cooling impact in TMT. Remarkably, the entire tropospheric developments throughout the newest half interval have been practically doubled the sooner half interval over the worldwide ocean.”
The paper verifies the calculations by Spencer and Christy that for all the satellite tv for pc report the temperature pattern in 0.14°C (0.25°F) per decade from all sources together with greenhouse gases and growing water vapor from El Niños and submerged geothermal exercise. Due to this fact, there isn’t any local weather disaster introduced on by greenhouse gases; and fashions used to forecast future warming attributable to greenhouse gases fail miserably.
Curiously this paper obtained little discover apart from frivolous criticism which has been refuted by statistician Ross McKitrick. Aside from Paul Homewood and McKitrick, few local weather commentators talked about it. As McKitrick titled an article within the Canadian Monetary Submit: “The essential local weather examine you gained’t hear about challenges developments in local weather simulations.” See the April 15 TWTW https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent204-15-23.pdf and https://local weather.nasa.gov/faq/49/which-measurement-is-more-accurate-taking-earths-surface-temperature-from-the-ground-or-from-space/#:~:textual content=Satellitespercent20don’tpercent20directlypercent20measure,brightnesspercent20datapercent20intopercent20temperaturepercent20information.
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Plate Tectonics: TWTW considers numerous video displays notably important; one by Geoscientist Tom Gallagher and the second by Professor Wyss Yim of College of Hong Kong. Each handled bodily proof exhibiting that plate tectonics modifications local weather.
On September 11, 2020, the journal, Science, by the American Affiliation for the Development of Science (AAAS) printed an article written by Thomas Westerhold and over 20 European scientists titled, “An astronomically dated report of Earth’s local weather and its predictability over the past 66 million years.” The info relies on utilizing completely different isotopes of oxygen (O16 and O18) to estimate temperature and completely different isotopes of Carbon (C12 and C13) to estimate sources of change in carbon dioxide concentrations within the ambiance. The summary of the paper states:
“A lot of our understanding of Earth’s previous local weather comes from the measurement of oxygen and carbon isotope variations in deep-sea benthic foraminifera. But, lengthy intervals in present information lack the temporal decision and age management wanted to totally categorize local weather states of the Cenozoic period and to review their dynamics. Right here, we current a brand new, extremely resolved, astronomically dated, steady composite of benthic foraminifer isotope information developed in our laboratories. 4 local weather states—Hothouse, Warmhouse, Coolhouse, Icehouse—are recognized on the idea of their distinctive response to astronomical forcing relying on greenhouse gasoline concentrations and polar ice sheet quantity. Statistical evaluation of the nonlinear conduct encoded in our report reveals the important thing position that polar ice quantity performs within the predictability of Cenozoic local weather dynamics.”
The Cenozoic Interval goes from as we speak to 66 million years in the past. Isotopes of oxygen are generally used to estimate floor temperature of oceans and ice sheets, comparable to Greenland and Antarctica. Having fewer neutrons, thus much less dense, O16 evaporates extra simply than O18 which has two extra neutrons. Equally, O18 condenses extra quickly than O16 and falls out earlier as rain or snow. Thus, temperature developments could be decided by ratios of O18 to O16.
Isotopes of Carbon are used to find out the possible supply. Volcanoes have a better ratio of C-13 to C-12 than crops (wooden) or fossil fuels. Thus, one can decide if the supply of carbon dioxide is volcanic or from fires. [Carbon 14 is ignored because, although it is regularly created in the atmosphere by protons ejected from the sun, it has a half-life that is noticeably short compared to geologic time.]
The info was taken from the multinational Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) working from 1985 to 2004. It was funded by the US Nationwide Science Basis (NSF) and 22 worldwide companions with the aim of conducting primary analysis into the historical past of the ocean basins. The abstract of 1 phase, known as Leg 198, begins: [Boldface added]
“The mid-Cretaceous (~125-85 Ma) and early Paleogene (~65-34 Ma) have been characterised by a few of the most equable climates of the Phanerozoic and are among the many greatest recognized historical “greenhouse” local weather intervals. As well as, these intervals include a few of the most abrupt and transient climatic modifications within the geologic report, together with the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Most (PETM), the mid-Maastrichtian deepwater occasion (MME), and the early Aptian Oceanic Anoxic Occasion (OAE1a). These important transitions concerned dramatically modified oceanic circulation patterns, profound modifications in geochemical biking, and abrupt turnover in marine biotas. Current ocean drilling efforts have led to profound advances in our understanding of the ocean and local weather dynamics of a heat Earth; nevertheless, we now have but to achieve a agency data of how atmospheric or deep-ocean circulation operates within the obvious absence of considerable thermal gradients, how fast removing of essential parts comparable to vitamins in a few of these occasions is maintained for a protracted time period, and precisely how environmental modifications trigger extinction and speciation of marine biotas.”
The info has lately been criticized as not giving exact estimates of temperatures. Nonetheless, that isn’t the difficulty. What’s the challenge is consistency of the information. If the information are constant then generalizations could be developed from them. These are essentially the most constant knowledge TWTW has seen protecting the previous 67 million years of Earth’s historical past. Gallagher unravels the information and develops a greater rationalization for altering local weather than altering carbon dioxide. For intervals of tens of hundreds of thousands of years, temperatures have been roughly fixed whereas CO2 concentrations modified dramatically.
Gallagher explains the 4 distinct intervals within the Westerhold paper as 4 Local weather States:
• Sizzling home: 56 to 47 million years in the past (Mya) greater than 10 C above as we speak
• Heat home: 66 to 56 Mya and 47 to 34 Mya
• Cool home 34 to three.3 Mya Hotter than as we speak
• Icehouse: 5 C under with starting of the Pleistocene (closing of the Panama seaway 3.3 million years in the past).
In brief, the altering land lots brought about the present Thermohaline Circulation. He factors to the age of the ice lots as proof of the Icehouse Earth. The oldest ice present in varied areas is:
• Rockies, Alps, New Zealand, Patagonia, and Alaska, principally Little Ice Age (1000 years outdated)
• Canadian Arctic and Greenland, 120,000 years
• Himalayas 600,000 years.
• Antarctica 800,000 to 1.2 million years
It was not till the Panamanian Seaway was blocked, that the Earth skilled dramatic modifications in glaciation, coinciding with the Milankovitch Cycles. The ice report over the previous 900,000 years reveals that the dominant intervals of the cycles have modified, with most length of extreme ice stretching from about 41,000 years lengthy to 100,000 years lengthy.
To Gallagher, the next trigger Local weather Change:
• Photo voltaic cycles – The solar controls the power system; Photo voltaic cycles govern longer-term timing of local weather change.
• Oceans management power storage • Water in all phases drives the power cycle of Local weather.
• Continental Drift has formed main steps in local weather change over the previous 67 million years.
• CO2 and Temperature proxies don’t correlate in paleoclimate knowledge.
• Till lately, CO2 was produced by volcanoes and oceans, with volcanoes heavy in C-13
• Catalysts comparable to Clouds (Albedo) and vegetation modify cycles.
What’s essential right here is that the worldwide local weather fashions begin about 1850 or 1870. Their development consists of no extended chilly intervals, which have been Earth’s dominant local weather situation for the previous 3 million years. See the July 15 TWTW, https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent207-15-23.pdf
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Present Plate Tectonics: In November Professor Wyss Yim, College of Hong Kong gave a chat to a gaggle in Australia detailing current submarine volcanic exercise which, within the Pacific has all too ceaselessly been confused with El Niños, as a result of floor water warming. Submarine volcanic exercise within the Atlantic off El Hierro within the Canary Islands dramatically warmed a small space of water there, prompting Al Gore to declare that carbon dioxide is inflicting the oceans to boil, which is absurd. A extra full dialogue of Yim’s presentation is within the December 2 TWTW, https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent20Decpercent202.pdf
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Statistical Video games: A really influential paper within the local weather group was one in 1999 by Allen and Tett that claimed it met the situations of the Gauss Markov theorem for making dependable assessments of likelihood, specifically, they’re BLUE – Greatest, Linear, Unbiased, Environment friendly (near true worth), estimates. In 2021 Ross McKitrick printed a paper in the identical journal, Local weather Dynamics, exhibiting that the Allen and Tett paper doesn’t meet the situations of the Gauss Markov Concept. TWTW has not seen any publication refuting McKitrick’s assertion.
Now McKitrick has had a paper printed in Environmetrics difficult the usage of Complete Least Squares which creates biased leads to making assertions that climate occasions are attributable to modifications in carbon dioxide. It’s wonderful that given the a whole lot of hundreds of thousands being spent on local weather change research, organizations fail to incorporate statisticians and econometricians who’ve handled statistics and biased statistics for a whole lot of years. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.sepp.org/twtwfiles/2023/TWTWpercent2012-31-22.pdf
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Variety of the Week: Zero for storage. At no time on December 21 did Renewables, wind and photo voltaic (massive hydro separate), exceed Pure Fuel technology plus Imports. Renewables can’t even meet present demand; how can it replenish batteries? Is the federal government resolution to shut California to electrical energy within the winter? See http://www.caiso.com/todaysoutlook/pages/provide.aspx and go to December 21.
A tree ring report you weren’t speculated to see
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“However 20 years in the past, Stephen McIntyre of hockey stick-busting fame heard about some Alaskan tree ring knowledge being hidden by a scientist named Gordon Jacoby and tried unsuccessfully to get his fingers on it. Jacoby died in 2015 and McIntyre simply chanced on an internet archive the place Jacoby had quietly posted the key report as an alternative of prudently deleting it. And it blows the IPCC model of local weather historical past to smithereens.”
“The underside line is that subsequent time you see a hockey stick graph, keep in mind they threw out many of the knowledge as a result of it didn’t verify their preconceptions and when you ask to see it they gained’t present it to you; although when you’re very fortunate they’ll drop it someplace and neglect they did.”
Censorship
Measuring Censorship in Science Is Difficult. Stopping it Is Tougher Nonetheless
By Musa al-Gharbi and Nicole Barbaro, By way of WUWT, Dec 29, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and analysis agenda
By Cory J. Clark, et al, PNAS, Nov 20, 2023
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2301642120
From the summary: “Standard narratives counsel that scientific censorship is pushed by authoritarian officers with darkish motives, comparable to dogmatism and intolerance. Our evaluation means that scientific censorship is commonly pushed by scientists, who’re primarily motivated by self-protection, benevolence towards peer students, and prosocial considerations for the well-being of human social teams.”
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Necessary Indoctrination: UC San Diego’s Local weather Change Schooling Requirement
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 24, 2023
“UC San Diego’s JTCCER [Jane Teranes Climate Change Education Requirement] is one other in a protracted line of troubling steps in direction of ideological uniformity and mental conformity.
[SEPP Comment: Promoting ideology over inquiry. According to a post by Scripps: “Jane Teranes, a teaching professor and paleoclimatologist who provided a bridge for UC San Diego undergraduates to engage with Scripps Institution of Oceanography science, died July 2, 2022, after a brief illness. She was 52.”] https://scripps.ucsd.edu/information/jane-teranes-1969-2022
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Might 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch
The Position of Greenhouse Gases in Vitality Switch within the Earth’s Environment
By W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, Mar 3, 2023
TLS (Complete Least Squares) Overstates Local weather Fingerprinting Coefficients When Forcing Alerts Are Negatively Correlated
By Ross McKitrick, His Weblog, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.rossmckitrick.com/index.html
From Local weather And many others: Local weather attribution methodology overstates “fingerprints” of exterior forcing
By Ross McKitrick, Local weather And many others., Dec 18, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Complete least squares bias in local weather fingerprinting regressions with heterogeneous noise variances and correlated explanatory variables
By Ross McKitrick, Environmetrics, Dec 12, 2023
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/env.2835
Ross McKitrick: The one factor fallacious with the globalist local weather agenda — the folks gained’t have it
Phasing out fossil fuels goes to price far more than abnormal folks will settle for. Delegates to COP28 clearly didn’t perceive that
By Ross McKitrick, Particular to Monetary Submit, Dec 20, 2023 [H/t Ron Clutz]
https://financialpost.com/opinion/cop28-out-of-touch-globalist-climate-agenda
“In their very own phrases, some 90,000 authorities functionaries aspire to supervise and micromanage agriculture, finance, power, manufacturing, gender relations, well being care, air-con, constructing design and numerous different financial and social selections. It’s all supposedly within the title of preventing local weather change, however that’s simply the pretext. Take local weather away and so they’d possible attraction to one thing else.”
Voices Of CO2 Doom Dishonestly Alarm Unthinking Worshippers with Correlations – Whereas Downplaying Confirmed Causations
By Jim Steele, WUWT, Dec 26, 2023
“Click on-bait media has hyped just a few laboratory research suggesting ocean acidification decreased coccolithophore calcification. However responses to elevated CO2 by completely different species of coccolithophores differ enormously. Some enhance calcification, some present no impact, and a few present unfavourable results, making any extrapolation of laboratory outcomes to pure populations extraordinarily difficult.”
U.S. Local weather 2023 12 months in Assessment – In a single phrase: NORMAL
By Roger Pielke Jr., By way of WUWT, Dec 20, 2023
#ECS in the actual world: Lewis and Curry 2015
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
Met Workplace Set to Ditch Precise Temperature Knowledge in Favour of Mannequin Predictions
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 24, 2023
Defending the Orthodoxy
Runaway greenhouse impact simulation reveals threat to Earth local weather: researchers
By AFP Workers Writers Geneva (AFP), Terra Day by day, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Runaway_greenhouse_effect_simulation_shows_risk_to_Earth_climate_researchers_999.html
Hyperlink to press launch: Exoplanets’local weather – it takes nothing to modify from liveable to hell
A workforce from UNIGE, NCCR PlanetS and CNRS has managed to simulate all the runaway greenhouse impact, which might make a planet utterly unhabitable.
College of Geneva, 2023
https://www.unige.ch/medias/en/2023/climat-des-exoplanetes-dhabitable-infernale-un-rien-suffit
Hyperlink to paper: First exploration of the runaway greenhouse transition with a 3D Common Circulation Mannequin
By Guillaume Chaverot, et al., Astronomy & Physics, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.aanda.org/part/article?entry=doi&doi=10.1051/0004-6361/202346936
From the summary: “First, assuming initially a liquid floor ocean, there may be an evaporation part, which enriches the ambiance with water vapor. Second, when the ocean is taken into account to be completely evaporated, there’s a dry transition part for which the floor temperature will increase dramatically. Lastly, the evolution ends with a scorching and secure post-runaway state.”
[SEPP Comment: Using global climate models that fail basic testing to further speculate about strong positive feedback from increasing water vapor that is not observed in 50 years of measurements of Earth’s atmosphere by instruments on weather balloons, to speculate that Venus and Earth are sister planets with similar atmospheres has no basis from physical evidence.]
State of Finance for Nature: The Massive Nature Turnaround – Repurposing $7 trillion to fight nature loss, 2023
By Nathalie Olsen, et al., United Nations Surroundings Programme, World Cover, & The Economics of Land Degradation Initiative, 2023 [H/t Carbon Brief]
file:///C:/Customers/Proprietor/Downloads/state_finance_nature_2023percent20(1).pdf
[SEPP Comment: Send lots of money to the UN?]
US utilities on monitor to be 100% renewable by 2060, says examine
By Stephanie Maltarich, College of Colorado at Boulder, TechXplore, Dec 18, 2023
https://techxplore.com/information/2023-12-track-renewable.html
Hyperlink to paper: Electrical utility plans are according to Renewable Portfolio Requirements and Clear Vitality Requirements in most US states
By Grace Kroeger & Matthew Burgess, Local weather Change, Dec 18, 2023
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-023-03645-7
The summary begins: “Electrical energy is without doubt one of the best—and subsequently most pressing—sectors to decarbonize.”
[SEPP Comment: If you don’t want reliable power or can build nuclear power plants overnight.]
Opinion: I’m a local weather scientist. That is why I’m laughing
By Invoice McGuire, CNN, Dec 15, 2023
https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/15/opinions/climate-change-comedy-cop28-mcguire/index.html
“What we wanted from the local weather summit in Dubai was a binding dedication to chop emissions in half inside six years, in order to have any probability of retaining the worldwide common temperature rise (in comparison with pre-industrial instances) this facet of 1.5°C, and side-stepping harmful, all pervasive, local weather breakdown.”
[Sepp Comment: Laughable.]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Biden administration takes step towards defending old-growth timber
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 19, 2023
Biden administration takes step toward protecting old-growth trees
Hyperlink to review: Price of tree carbon accumulation will increase repeatedly with tree measurement
By: N.L. Stephenson, et al., Nature, 2014
https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70124417
“Research have proven that old-growth timber retailer important quantities of carbon dioxide — making their safety essential for preventing local weather change.”
Local weather Disaster: What’s the Local weather Disaster, Why is it occurring, Hower does it have an effect on us all, and What are you able to do?
By Workers, OXFAM, a public charity, 2023
file:///C:/Customers/Proprietor/Downloads/Oxfam-Local weather-Disaster-eBook.pdf
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Worldwide Vitality Company Promotes Oil Scarcity As a substitute of Stopping It
By Mario Loyola, The Day by day Sign, Dec 14, 2023
“The IEA’s unique objective included growth of different power sources. However that was in an effort to shield in opposition to future oil shocks, to not create a transition to various sources on the threat of an oil shock.
The U.S. has the lion’s share of voting rights on the IEA’s Governing Board. These voting rights must be used to fireside the present government director and exchange him with any person who will persist with the IEA’s precise mission in the actual world.”
Tidbits
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“Anybody who is aware of the precise historical past of environmentalism is conscious that again round 1950 there have been mighty few air pollution controls on trade typically and oil and gasoline particularly, and that the revolution in public consciousness within the Nineteen Sixties and Seventies led to enormously efficient guidelines about emissions of every part from sulfur dioxide to unstable natural compounds, and an astounding enchancment in air and water high quality all through the industrialized democracies. He [Canada’s Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault] is after all complicated carbon dioxide with ‘air pollution’.”
2023 Vitality Literacy In Assessment – OpEd
By Ronald Stein, Eurasia Assessment, Dec 26, 2023
The Nice Local weather Combat… to be related
By Harry Wilkinson, Web Zero Watch, Dec 22, 2023
BBC Scottish Local weather Lies Scandal Will get Attention-grabbing, As They Strive To Cowl Them Up!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 19, 2023
“It additionally seems that the unique misinformation from the researchers has quietly been deleted. Sadly, this was by no means saved to Wayback, which leaves the BBC with none proof that they have been misled within the first place.”
INFOGRAPHIC: Local weather Scientists’ Credibility Damage
As local weather specialists warn of looming disaster, defective previous forecasts harm their message.
By Petr Svab, Epoch Occasions, Dec 25, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://www.theepochtimes.com/article/infographic-climate-scientists-credibility-hurt-5552652?utm_source=Morningbrief&src_src=Morningbrief&utm_campaign=mb-2023-12-26&src_cmp=mb-2023-12-26&utm_medium=e-mail&est=fYCPrZjpqYIUdZx1SR83tHOy6xOFTYonpXJsEsmHS6K4gf80DnAuzU1mzgpercent3Dpercent3D
Cause is Proper, There’s No ‘Local weather Cliff’
By Linnea Lueken, Local weather Realism, Dec 19, 2023
Vitality and Environmental Assessment: December 18, 2023
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 18, 2023
After Paris!
After COP28: What Transition From Hydrocarbons?
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 22, 2023
“Mario Loyola wrote at The Wall Road Journal ‘The Unattainable Vitality ‘Transition’.’ Excerpts in italics with my bolds.”
Brendan O’Neill: COP28 and the scourge of eco-imperialism
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 18, 2023
Traditionally historic
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
Woot! What a present. What pleasure. What a aid. COP28 went into time beyond regulation, of all issues, exhausted delegates debated wording they now not possessed the acuity to understand, after which miraculously they snatched rhetorical victory from the jaws of precise defeat and we bought resounding with predictable declarations of a ‘historic deal’… In fact, after an nearly similar theatrical efficiency a 12 months in the past in Egypt, journalactivists pronounced COP27 ‘historic’. Does anybody keep in mind what for? Anybody?”
The £2.1bn mega-project to construct world’s greatest airport in metropolis cherished by British vacationers
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 28, 2023
“Whereas the eco-loonies attempt to shut down UK air journey, Dubai goes to construct the world’s greatest airport!”
10, give or take 10
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“’On Sunday, a consortium of local weather science teams launched this 12 months’s 10 New Insights in Local weather Science, a synopsis of the newest local weather analysis. The report was written on the invitation of the UN Framework Conference on Local weather Change…’ And you may guess simply how new or insightful these deep ideas from the IPCC have been.”
COP28 Will get Coal In Its Stocking
Two weeks earlier than Christmas, the Dubai local weather confab ends with a thud as international coal demand continues to extend
By Robert Bryce, His Weblog, Dec 12, 2023
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/cop28-gets-coal-in-its-stocking
“Coal didn’t have many mates at COP28, nevertheless it continues to be an indispensable gasoline for producing electrical energy. Which means it’s going stick round.”
Social Benematches of Carbon Dioxide
Analysis Finds Larger Probability Of Excessive Snowfall. And: Greening Africa
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 26, 2023
Hyperlink to paper on Africa: Adjustments in vegetation greenness associated to climatic and non-climatic components within the Sudano-Sahelian area
By Yelong Zeng, et al. Regional Environmental Change, June 28, 2023
https://hyperlink.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10113-023-02084-5
From summary: “We quantified in additional element the relative contributions of rainfall variability (climatic issue), land use/land cowl (LULC) change, and fireplace prevalence change (non-climatic components) to vegetation greenness developments in chosen sub-regions.”
In search of a Frequent Floor
“Sensible” international warming projections for the twenty first century
By Nicola Scafetta, Local weather And many others. Dec 29, 2023
Hyperlink to paper: Impacts and dangers of “practical” international warming projections for the twenty first century
By Nicola Scafetta, Geoscience Frontiers, Mar 2, 2024
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987123002414?viapercent3Dihub
The optimistic imaginative and prescient
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“The human capability for error, relatively than deceit, is one among our most developed schools.”
“We want all of the governments going to COP28 to demand a phase-out have been simply faking it. However we don’t consider it. Justin Trudeau actually thinks we will do away with oil, gasoline and coal and be higher off. So does Joe Biden.”
“As Thomas Sowell so masterfully discusses in A Battle of Visions, the strain between those that depend on will and those that depend on methodology permeates public coverage. And advocates of what we realists typically scorn as unicorn energy are simply as honest, and simply as fallacious, as those that suppose appeasement brings peace.”
A Thought Experiment; Simplifying the Local weather Riddle.
By Bob Irvine, WUWT, Dec 20, 2023
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Wales To Spend £2.6 Billion Combating Local weather Change Subsequent 12 months
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2023
“There are 1.3 million households in Wales, so over this two interval local weather spending by the Welsh Authorities will price every one £4000. And that’s on high of all the different prices imposed by the UK Authorities.”
Measurement Points — Floor
2023: World temperature, statistics and scorching air
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Dec 20, 2023
“The Met Workplace’s crafty plan is a part of a pattern we now have talked about earlier than – making the ‘local weather’ interval shorter and the ‘climate’ longer. What was as soon as outlined as short-term climate is now known as local weather, ignoring the 30 12 months definition of local weather that places climate occasions into their statistical context. And naturally every annual international temperature common, even these considerably influenced by a powerful El Nino or La Nina, has was a climatic occasion as a result of ocean cycles themselves have now change into near-term local weather occasions.”
A Moist “Drought”
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 27, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/12/a-wet-drought.html
“Sadly, there was lots of poor details about local weather change, excessive climate, and drought being distributed by sure authorities businesses and a few media.
One instance is the practically fixed discuss drought right here within the Northwest and the western U.S. basically, typically with a suggestion of a local weather change origin.
Essentially the most problematic supply of the drought claims is the U.S. Drought Monitor graphic produced by a group of governmental businesses. This can be a subjective graphic, with no rigorous methodology based mostly on goal data. And it exaggerates drought.”
Altering Climate
2023 US wildfire season sees whole acreage burned underneath 3 million, far under 10-year avg. & lowest since 1998
By Marc Morano, Local weather Depot, Dec 26, 2023
[SEPP Comment: From data by Meteorologist Paul Dorian. Wait until next year?]
Beijing information longest chilly wave in trendy historical past
Beijing information longest chilly wave in trendy historical past as heating programs in a part of China struggles
By Xiaofei Xu, CNN, Dec 25, 2023
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/beijing-records-longest-cold-wave-in-modern-history/1606749
Report Warmth In 1907
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 29, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/record-heat-in-1907/#gsc.tab=0
With Storms “Bombing” Over the Jap Pacific, Massive Waves Will Hit Our Coast
By Cliff Mass Climate Weblog, Dec 24, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/12/with-storms-bombing-over-eastern-pacific.html
Altering Local weather
Paleoclimate Reconstructions Proceed To Doc A A lot Hotter-Than-At this time Holocene
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 28, 2023
Hyperlink to at least one paper: Pollen-based reconstructions of Holocene local weather developments within the japanese Mediterranean area
By Esmeralda Cruz-Silva, et al, Local weather of the Previous, Nov 1, 2023
https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/19/2093/2023/
Winter Solstice Teaches Us About Local weather Change
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Dec 18, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Data to 2013]
Altering Seas
2 Extra New Research Undermine Alarmist Claims That Corals Are Harmed By Warming
By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, Dec 21, 2023
Hyperlink to at least one paper: Coral development over the previous 550 years within the central South China Sea linked to monsoon- and seabird-induced nutrient stress
By Yi Liu, et al., Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, Might 1, 2023
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018223001062
Hyperlink to second paper: 9000 years of change in coral group construction and accretion in Belize reefs, western Atlantic
By Eberhard Gischler, et al., Nature, Scientific Experiences, July 13, 2023
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-38118-5
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctic Sea Ice Quantity Better Than The Early Nineteen Eighties
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 21, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Observations of ice thickness are sparce, and the estimates of volume are based on a model.]
Lowest Ice Extent In 7.5 Billion Years
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 29, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/lowest-ice-extent-in-7-5-billion-years/#gsc.tab=0
Hyperlink to article: Antarctic sea ice ranges dive in ‘five-sigma occasion’, as specialists flag worsening penalties for planet
By Alexandra Alvaro, ABC, AU, Information, July 26, 2023, By way of WayBackMachine
“For these of you who’re curious about statistics, this can be a five-sigma occasion. So, it’s 5 commonplace deviations past the imply. Which signifies that if nothing had modified, we’d anticipate to see a winter like this about as soon as each 7.5 billion years.
“It’s gobsmacking.”
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Within the land of make-believe
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“The purpose being not that local weather change is definitely roiling provide chains. Relatively, the identical journalists who wrongly satisfied people who they’re ravenous because the world witnesses report harvests and far of it’s within the grips of an weight problems disaster now need you to suppose rising fennel will repair the difficulty.”
Reducing Requirements
DAVID BLACKMON: This Company Is Scrambling To Alter Its Absurd ‘Peak Oil’ Predictions
By David Blackmon, Day by day Caller, Dec 16, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/16/opinion-this-agency-is-scrambling-to-adjust-its-absurd-peak-oil-predictions-david-blackmon/
“The Worldwide Vitality Company, led by local weather alarm advocate Fatih Birol, apparently feels it’s secure to begin the method of revising its forecasts for oil consumption development now that the COP28 convention has ended. Proper on cue, the company seen by many as permitting an ideological bias to affect its experiences upped its forecast for 2024 demand development by 130,000 barrels per day lower than 24 hours after the ultimate COP28 settlement was made public.”
[SEPP Comment: IEA “accidently” delayed its announcement that the use of coal in 2022 exceeded its use in 2021 and it continues to grow in 2023?]
NERC geese excessive chilly grid threats
By David Wojick, CFACT, Dec 27, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/12/27/nerc-ducks-extreme-cold-grid-threats/
“In brief, NERC’s ten-year projection of virtually no development in renewables is ridiculous. So is their intentionally ignoring the extraordinarily chilly climate that’s sure to happen.
In actuality, NERC’s long-term reliability evaluation hides the dangers it claims to elucidate. These dangers are lethal and so they have to be confronted.”
Gerrit’s 86 mph Winds Measured At High Of 400 Foot Clifftop
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2023
“As soon as once more the Met Workplace are responsible of utilizing a completely unrepresentative website for the specific objective of stoking local weather alarm.”
[SEPP Comment: Video of blades of a wind turbine in the wind!]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
The BOM predicted a scorching dry summer season proper earlier than the flooding rains got here
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 29, 2023
“The Australian editors offers the BOM an escape valve it doesn’t deserve:
‘To be truthful to the BOM, a hysterical and ill-informed media has allowed local weather alarmism to contaminate reporting of what must be routine climate occasions.’
For thirty years the Australian media has made hyperbolic scare tales in regards to the climate whereas the BOM tacitly stood by and smiled. The place have been they because the tenets of science have been trashed, and critics have been known as ‘local weather deniers’? If the BOM are victims of this hyperbole now, they reap what they sowed.”
Average Democrats fume over Biden hydrogen proposal
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 22, 2023
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4373787-moderate-democrats-fume-over-biden-hydrogen-proposal/
“The hydrogen power challenge divides Democrats, with extra conservative Democrats urgent for the pliability they are saying will assist a nascent trade that might be essential within the local weather battle. Liberals argue unfastened guidelines might make hydrogen power a local weather change downside relatively than an answer.”
[SEPP Comment: Yellow journalism, defining terms anyway to suit the article]
URGENT WARNING Scotland’s local weather altering at alarming charge
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 18, 2023
Two Extra BBC Complaints
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 19, 2023
“In each instances, the BBC have merely lower and pasted press releases, as all of the media appears to have carried out.
The BBC will little doubt blame the supply and deny all accountability, as they at all times do.
Nonetheless, that doesn’t excuse them from printing false data.”
BBC ‘Disinformation’ Reporter Plans Six-Month Sabbatical to go on Local weather Course Funded by Inexperienced Billionaires
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 28, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Local weather Disaster! Hottest Xmas Since 2016!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 27, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Local weather Advocacy: Incompetence Versus Intentional Fraud — Lazard Version
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 17, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-12-17-climate-advocacy-incompetence-versus-intentional-fraud-lazard-edition
“The Lazard LCOE Experiences are well-known for his or her repeated conclusion that wind generators and photo voltaic panels have change into the most affordable sources for technology of electrical energy.”
“May the folks at Lazard who produce all these fancy and sophisticated charts and graphs actually not know that 4-hour length batteries biking as soon as per day should not going to return near fixing the intermittency issues of wind and photo voltaic technology? Or do they actually know that, and they’re simply hoping to promote just a few a whole lot of billions of {dollars} value of wind generators and photo voltaic panels earlier than the silly politicians and traders determine the rip-off?”
New 12 months’s Decision – Methane Response
By Roger Caiazza, WUWT, Dec 29, 2023
“Local weather Act [NY Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act] authors claimed it was mandatory to make use of 20-year international warming potential (GWP) values as a result of methane is estimated to be 28 to 36 better than carbon dioxide for a 100-year time horizon however 84-87 better GWP over a 20-year interval.”
Local weather Enron Might Be Heading for a Crash
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Winer, Nov 15, 2023
https://realclearwire.com/articles/2023/11/15/climate_enron_may_be_heading_for_a_crash_992758.html#
“In Skilling’s [Enron’s CFO] ‘mark-to-market’ accounting, anticipated future earnings from any deal have been accounted for by estimating their current worth relatively than historic price. Thus, argued Skilling, Enron didn’t really want ‘property.’
Two Thousand Levels Of Warming
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 22, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/two-thousand-degrees-of-warming/#gsc.tab=0
[SEPP Comment: Refers to a foolish study in Astronomy & Astrophysics by Chaverot.]
Hottest In 125,000 Years?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 23, 2023
Unprecedented Amazon Drought?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 26, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Local weather change is 100% unhealthy: Now inflicting allergic reactions, bronchial asthma in wealthy international locations and never poor ones
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 28, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Plant life flourishing is harmful?]
Burning Arctic
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 22, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/burning-arctic/#gsc.tab=0
“Specialists say the Arctic is burning and the recent Arctic is making China freeze.”
Local weather change: Seasonal shifts inflicting ‘chaos’ for UK nature
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 28, 2023
“The entire concept that Britain’s nature is in a state of chaos due to local weather change is ludicrous.”
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Former Greens Chief Bob Brown says wind trade and renewables are profiteering off local weather
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 23, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Save the planet, but not in my backyard?]
Questioning European Inexperienced
Archimedes’ Fulcrum: Time’s up for Web Zero
By Gwythian Prins, Web Zero Watch, Dec 19, 2023
Hyperlink to report: Archimedes’ Fulcrum: Time’s up for Web Zero
By Gwythian Prins, Web Zero Watch, 2023
“The more durable Web Zero is pushed, the extra it fails; and in its failing the extra it brings the noble causes of environmental stewardship and human flourishing into disrepute.”
Web zero is about to get much more painful
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2023
“We’re presently on the fourth (2023-27) carbon finances, which requires a 52pc fall in emissions in contrast with 1990. This could be achievable, however the fifth and sixth (involving a 77pc fall by 2037) absolutely gained’t be, not less than not and not using a walloping blow to our economic system, freedoms and dwelling requirements.”
Authorities will hit goal of 600,000 annual warmth pump installations, insists minister
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 18, 2023
“They actually do reside in Cloud-Cuckoo Land, don’t they!”
Germany: “Renewable Vitality Sector Dealing with The Abyss”…”On The Brink” …Financial system Breaking Up
By P Gosselin, NO Methods Zone, Dec 27, 2023
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
What might occur if we simply stopped oil? Six billion would possibly die
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 20, 2023
Buyers Are Turning On A Key Pillar Of Biden’s Local weather Agenda
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 26, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/26/investors-electric-vehicle-charging-stocks/
Low Winds, Winter Solar, and Plenty of Clouds Imply Little Renewable Vitality over the Pacific Northwest
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 22, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/12/low-winds-winter-sun-and-lots-of-clouds.html
“For these curious about lowering international warming, preserving the Snake River dams must be an essential precedence, since there isn’t any viable plan for changing their energy.”
New York Metropolis’s Local weather Insurance policies May Make Life Even Extra ‘Unaffordable’ For The Center Class
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 27, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/27/new-york-city-climate-rules-expensive/
Inexperienced Jobs
Scottish battery manufacturing unit goes bust in contemporary blow to UK’s internet zero trade
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 20, 2023
“Finally they may work out that you simply can’t create jobs by authorities diktat!”
Funding Points
CCP-tied group is quietly fueling US-based local weather initiatives: tax filings
‘Environmentalists fueled by China are selling insurance policies that may enhance our dependence on China’: power professional
By Thomas Catenacci and Joe Schoffstall, Fox Information, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ccp-tied-group-quietly-fueling-us-based-climate-initiatives-tax-filings
“The Vitality Basis, which conducts its operations in Beijing, funneled practically $4 million to U.S. local weather initiatives final 12 months, based on tax filings first obtained by Fox Information Digital. Among the many teams it funded is the Pure Assets Protection Council, which has opposed fossil gasoline drilling and pipelines just like the Keystone XL mission.”
[SEPP Comment: TWTW reviewed the latest publicly available IRS 990 by the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2021. The organization with $180,000,000 in revenue, $128,000,000 in contributions did not specifically identify any of its three major contributors who contributed over $32,000,000.]
The Political Video games Proceed
Republicans Maintain Listening to ‘to Stop Vitality Poverty’ in America
By Derrick Hollie, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 20, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/20/republicans_hold_hearing_to_prevent_energy_poverty_in_america_1000184.html
“Vitality poverty happens when people and households are unable to afford primary heating, electrical energy, and gasoline wants.”
[SEPP Comment: Wil the response by the greens be to subsidize that which they create?]
Litigation Points
EXCLUSIVE: Emails Present Biden Admin Coordinating With Enviro Group That’s Suing Them
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 19, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/19/enviro-group-biden-admin-lawsuit/
“’Nonetheless, if I didn’t know higher I’d suspect there are two requirements in making use of the regulation. Shrug it off for mates—that’s what cellphone calls are for — and, to the disfavored, indignantly declare the regulation to be a sacred defend,’ [Attorney Chris] Horner stated.”
Main ‘local weather deception’ lawsuit in opposition to Massive Oil voluntarily dismissed
Lawsuit was among the many first of many novel instances alleging Massive Oil has deceived the general public for many years about international warming
By Thomas Catenacci Fox Information, Dec 19, 2023 [H/t Russell Cook]
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/major-climate-deception-lawsuit-against-big-oil-voluntarily-dismissed
“The California-based Pacific Coast Federation of Fishermen’s Associations (PCFFA), the most important commerce affiliation of business fishermen on the West Coast, requested the dismissal in a submitting with the U.S. District Courtroom for the Northern District of California. The request got here after Decide Vince Chhabria dominated on Nov. 1 that the case might be heard in federal courtroom regardless of PCFFA’s argument for it to be tried in state courtroom.”
[SEPP Comment: In state court to be heard by a jury of PCFFA members?]
Oregon appeals courtroom finds the principles for the state’s local weather program are invalid
By AP, The Hill, Dec 20, 2023
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/ap-oregon-appeals-court-finds-the-rules-for-the-states-climate-program-are-invalid/
“The Local weather Safety Program targets a 90% discount in greenhouse gasoline emissions from transportation fuels and pure gasoline by 2050.”
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
Germany’s Nationwide Discontent Will Be Fueled Additional By Larger CO2 Tax – Deliberate For 2024!
By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, Dec 23, 2023
The £600 Fuel Boiler “Tax” Coming Your Manner
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 18, 2023
Subsidies and Mandates Eternally
Orsted Will Change Half Of Hornsea 3 To Spherical 6
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 20, 2023
“In brief, Orsted need to renege on a part of their present contract, in an effort to change that capability to double the costs in Allocation Spherical 6.
The federal government must develop a spine, and inform them they’re excluded from Allocation Spherical 6.”
Wind Curtailment Prices To Rise To £3 Billion By 2030
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 19, 2023
“Because the BBC is instantly involved about power payments, possibly it ought to remind its readers that they’re already paying some £1.2 billion to subsidise Scotland’s onshore wind farms yearly.”
The Electrical Automotive Scheme
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 26, 2023
“To have the ability to save 30% on the price of lease funds is of course vastly engaging to potential consumers, and is a subsidy paid by authorities.”
EPA and different Regulators on the March
‘Tremendously Damaging’: Right here’s The Most Aggressive Restrictions Biden’s EPA Pushed On People In 2023
By Nick Pope, Day by day Caller, Dec 29, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/12/29/biden-epa-aggressive-2023/
EPA to disperse $600M in anti-pollution grants by regional organizations
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 20, 2023
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4368597-epa-to-disperse-600m-in-anti-pollution-grants-through-regional-organizations/
“The funding is a component of a bigger bucket of $3 billion supplied by the Inflation Discount Act geared toward enhancing environmental justice…”
[SEPP Comment: Washington’s way to fight inflation – spend money?]
Vitality Points – Non-US
The Cult of Darkness
By Edward Hudgins, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 22, 2023
Britain’s Web Zero Catastrophe and the Wind Energy Rip-off
By Rupert Darwall, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 20, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/20/britains_net_zero_disaster_and_the_wind_power_scam_1000250.html
“In 2009, 87.3 gigawatts (GW) of producing capability, comprising solely 5.1 p.c of wind and photo voltaic, generated 376.8 terrawatt hours (TWh) of electrical energy. In 2020, 100.9 GW of producing capability, with wind and photo voltaic accounting for 37.6 p.c of capability, produced 312.3 TWh of electrical energy. Due to renewables, 13.6 GW (15.6 p.c) extra producing capability produced 64.5 TWh (17.1 p.c) much less electrical energy.”
The Wants of the Grid Are Altering — Our Infrastructure Should Change With Them
By Christina Hayes, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 20, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/20/the_needs_of_the_grid_are_changing__our_infrastructure_must_change_with_them_1000182.html
[SEPP Comment: As observation of the UK, above, shows and contrary to what the author implies, increasing generating capacity does not equal increasing low-cost electricity reliability.]
The Impression Of Warmth Pumps On Electrical energy Demand
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 22, 2023
“Together with demand from EVs, the UK would wish effectively over 100 GW of capability to fulfill peak demand.”
Warmth pumps are a vote loser
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Dec 22, 2023
Vitality Points — US
Ten Unbelievable Vitality Concepts for 2024
By Leonard Hyman & William Tilles, Oil Value.com, Dec 26, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshie]
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Common/Ten-Unbelievable-Vitality-Concepts-for-2024.html
Washington’s Management of Vitality
Biden administration auctions off 1.7M acres for Gulf drilling in final offshore oil lease sale till 2025
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 20, 2023
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4369997-biden-administration-gulf-of-mexico-oil-lease-sale-last-until-2025/
“The current sale was mandated by the Inflation Discount Act — Democrats’ local weather, tax and well being care invoice.
Nonetheless, it follows a contentious current courtroom battle by which environmental advocates sought to shrink the sale and add stipulations to guard the Rice’s Whale.”
Last Decrease Snake River Juvenile Salmon Migration Feasibility Report: Environmental Impression Assertion
US Military Corps of Engineers, Walla Walla District, February 2002
https://www.nww.usace.military.mil/Portals/28/docs/library/2002percent20LSRpercent20study/Abstract.pdf?ver=2019-05-03-131237-337
[SEPP Comment: Not considered well is the cost of electricity if dams are breached and the cost of replacing the dams if the breaching of the dams fails to increase populations of the fish including listed species. See link above under Questioning Green Elsewhere.]
Return of King Coal?
Outdated King Coal at COP28: Uninvited Visitor or Star of the Present?
By Tilak Doshi & Peter A. Coclanis, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 19, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/19/old_king_coal_at_cop28_uninvited_guest_or_star_of_the_show_999983.html
Hyperlink to report: Coal 2023: Evaluation and forecast to 2026
By Workers IEA, 2023
From report: “World coal consumption reached an all-time excessive in 2022…and the world is heading in direction of a brand new report in 2023… World coal demand is ready to say no to 2026 – however China can have the final phrase… Coal’s shift to Asia is accelerating… Main coal producers are growing their output… Coal commerce has expanded to an all-time excessive in 2023 however will decline afterwards.” [if China and India agree and EU expands production?}
From article: “No country ever has reached ‘developed country’ status without relying on fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas).”
A Coal Refuse Power Plant Is Pioneering an AI-Driven Overhaul
By Sonal Patel, Power Mag, Dec 19, 2023
https://www.powermag.com/a-coal-refuse-power-plant-is-pioneering-an-ai-driven-overhaul/?oly_enc_id=7809H6412578J0B
“An iconic coal refuse power plant in West Virginia that burns gob—basically dirt—and pond fines as part of a complex environmental solution to address coal waste is stepping up efforts to improve its efficiency, reliability, and cost reductions by embracing cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI).”
Nuclear Energy and Fears
California Regulators Vote to Keep Diablo Canyon Nuclear Plant Open Another Five Years
By Derrell Proctor, Power Mag, Dec 15, 2023
https://www.powermag.com/california-regulators-vote-to-keep-diablo-canyon-nuclear-plant-open-another-five-years/?oly_enc_id=7809H6412578J0B
Scientists repeat nuclear fusion breakthrough 3 times
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Dec 22, 2023
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/4374325-scientists-repeat-nuclear-fusion-breakthrough-three-times/
“Federal scientists have repeated their breakthrough toward nuclear fusion energy three times this year — and now say they can ‘consistently’ produce fusion energy.”
[SEPP Comment: Unable to locate press release or report that defines how long is “consistently.” The fusion energy produced is a tiny fraction of the energy poured into the lasers to produce the fusion energy.]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Scientists discover new strategy to desalinate seawater utilizing solar energy, examine says
The extra environment friendly desalination course of might ease dwindling water provides.
By Julia Jacobo, ABC Information, Dec 21, 2023
https://abcnews.go.com/US/scientists-find-new-desalinate-seawater-solar-power-study/story?id=105807454
Hyperlink to paper: Photo voltaic-powered simultaneous extremely environment friendly seawater desalination and extremely particular goal extraction with good DNA hydrogels
By Hanxue Liang, et al., Science Advances, Dec 22, 2023
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adj1677
[SEPP Comment: Is it less costly than the desalination plant in Carlsbad, CA?]
ICEBREAKER Wind Lifeless: Nice Lakes Alive
By Sherri Lange, Grasp Assets, Dec 19, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
Audi hits brakes on EV rollout as enthusiasm wanes
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 19, 2023
‘Zero Emission’ Truck Fraud: Candid Digital camera Meets Nikola (Trevon Milton to the Slammer?)
By Kennedy Maize, Grasp Useful resource, Dec 27, 2023
Nobody desires used EVs, making new ones a harder promote too
By Monica Raymunt, The Japan Occasions, Dec 25, 20-23
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/enterprise/2023/12/25/tech/used-evs-tough-sell-market/
How costly is EV charging
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 27, 2023
Diverted Flights & Battery Plane
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2023
Well being, Vitality, and Local weather
Lancet Report Reveals Devastating Impression of Local weather Insurance policies on Public Well being in Growing International locations
By Mikko Paunio, The Day by day Sceptic, Dec 20, 2023
“Thus, the implication that coal is guilty is deceptive, since electrical energy and warmth are produced in energy stations with efficient scrubbers. In Helsinki we had two extraordinarily environment friendly coal crops, which have been producing concurrently electrical energy and warmth, till inexperienced ideologues managed to shut them (one continues to be working till 2025). Helsinki has among the many cleanest ambient air high quality of any metropolitan space within the globe.”
UK Well being Safety Company boss criticised for tropical illness claims
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 18, 2023
“A number one professional in mosquito-borne illnesses is fiercely important of Professor Dame Jenny Harries, head of the UK Well being Safety Company, calling her current pronouncements on mosquito-transmitted illnesses ‘completely fictional’ and ‘shameless’.”
Environmental Trade
Invoice McKibben Lists 5 Cause New LNG Terminals Received’t Be Authorised. We Add One Extra
By Seve Hanley, Clear Technical, Dec 24, 2023
“First, he cites the convergence of many essential voices who’ve expressed opposition to the deliberate LNG terminals. This week, 170 scientists wrote to the president to induce the plans be rejected. In line with Meals and Water Watch, the letter cited the large affect the proposal would have on international local weather air pollution — about 20 instances that of the recently-approved Willow oil drilling mission in Alaska.”
[SEPP Comment: If Earth warming is pollution, what would glaciation be called – freezing-out pollution?]
Different Information that Might Be of Curiosity
The Technocracy’s Masks Are All Off Now
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Vitality, Dec 19, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/12/19/the_technocracys_masks_are_all_off_now_999922.html
“Simply final month, famous historian Victor Davis Hanson wrote that, ‘For the primary time in a millennium, Europe now not performs a important position in selling Western civilization nor in world historical past at massive.’”
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
This beloved New 12 months’s Eve ‘pop’ might quickly disappear due to altering climate
By Rachel Ramirez, CNN, Dec 28, 2023
https://www.accuweather.com/en/local weather/this-beloved-new-years-eve-pop-could-soon-disappear-because-of-changing-weather/1607544
“The three grapes utilized in nearly all champagne — chardonnay, pinot noir and pinot meunier — are amongst a whole lot getting ready to extinction, based on Silicon Valley startup ClimateAi, which shared knowledge insights with CNN.”
[SEPP Comment: What bunk! Champagne is only a French marketing name. Great sparkling wines come from elsewhere as well.]
Two Thousand Levels Of Warming
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 22, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/two-thousand-degrees-of-warming/#gsc.tab=0
Hyperlink to press launch: Exoplanets’ local weather – it takes nothing to modify from liveable to hell
https://www.aanda.org/2023-press-releases/2930
Hyperlink to paper: First exploration of the runaway greenhouse transition with a 3D Common Circulation Mannequin
By Guillaume Chaverot, et al., Astronomy and Astrophysics, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/full_html/2023/12/aa46936-23/aa46936-23.html
We don’t need to see this emission discount plan
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Dec 20, 2023
“’Dr. Nicholas Cowan, an atmospheric physicist on the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Edinburgh, stated: ‘Exhaled human breath can include small, elevated concentrations of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), each of which contribute to international warming. We’d urge warning within the assumption that emissions from people are negligible.’’”
COP 28: Local weather Hysteric Peter Kalmus Has the Sads
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 20, 2023
OSU scientists gather aardvark poop, join it to local weather change
By Editors, Corvallis Gazette-Occasions, Dec 28, 2023 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://gazettetimes.com/information/native/training/osu-scientists-study-aardvark-poop/article_cf60dc37-6ce0-5df9-abd1-fda73b6b3a97.html#:~:textual content=Inpercent20apercent20firstpercent2Dofpercent2Dits,forpercent20theirpercent20longpercent2Dtermpercent20survival.
Hyperlink to paper: Affect of local weather and panorama on genetic differentiation of aardvarks (Orycteropus afer)
By Clinton W. Epps, et al, Variety and Distributions, Dec 13, 2023
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/motion/doSearch?AllField=Variety+and+Distributions+Aardvarks#
[SEPP Comment: No reported measurements of “climate change” in areas of South Africa where the study was conducted only “climate-associated adaptive differences.”]
Southwest Everlasting Drought Replace
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 22, 2023
https://realclimatescience.com/2023/12/southwest-permanent-drought-update-11/#gsc.tab=0
Report Numbers Of Puffins
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 29, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Not disappearing as forecasted?]
ARTICLES
1. Treasury Drops a Hydrogen Bomb
Behold the brawl between inexperienced teams over a brand new tax credit score for hydrogen energy.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Dec. 27, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/treasury-biden-administration-hydrogen-tax-credit-rule-energy-e6be5a27?mod=hp_opin_pos_2#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: The important thing paragraph is:
“He [Senator Joe Manchin] could also be underestimating the Administration’s cynicism. The Environmental Safety Company this 12 months proposed a rule that may successfully require natural-gas energy crops to make use of clear hydrogen to cut back greenhouse gasoline emissions. If clear hydrogen doesn’t exist in ample portions by the point the rule takes impact, pure gas-fired crops might haven’t any selection however to close down. The one consistency within the Biden Administration’s local weather agenda is its want to hurt fossil fuels.
Associated
